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Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 11

Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice

1 – 0 Full time

25′Jan Zíka
49′Jan Fortelný
49′Daniel Langhamer
59′Matej RadostaIdris Hopi
59′Jan FortelnýRobert Jukl
65′Daniel MarečekMarcel Cermak
67′Martin ŠubertJosef Kolarik
69′Matyas Kozak
73′Jiří KlímaLukas Letenay
73′Jan ZíkaDenis Donat
79′John AutaLadislav Krejčí
79′Matyas KozakTomas Zlatohlavek
85′Daniel LanghamerFilip Spatenka
85′Solomon JohnMatej Zachoval
90′Filip Matousek

Mestsky stadion UMT, Mlada BoleslavReferee: Adam Trska

Mlada Boleslav 42%
Draw 26%
Teplice 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 2
52 Possession % 48
3 Corners 8
5 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 1
2 Saves 2
458 Accurate passes 359

Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMlada BoleslavDrawTeplice
Model35.2%26.9%37.9%
Market44.2%26.2%29.6%
Final41.9%26.4%31.7%
Edge-9.0%+0.7%+8.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mlada Boleslav ↓ / Teplice → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Mlada Boleslav and Teplice expected goals

Mlada Boleslav 1.43
Teplice 1.50

Total expected goals: 2.93

Mlada Boleslav and Teplice attack and defence ratings

Mlada Boleslav

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Teplice

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice: result vs prediction

Mlada Boleslav 1 – 0 Teplice

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mlada Boleslav 41.9% 2.39 -9.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.1% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.3% 1.66 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.6% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.8% 1.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mlada Boleslav41.9%
Draw26.4%
Teplice31.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.1%
Under 2.543.9%
Both teams to scoreYes60.3%
No39.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.3%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)58.1%
Handicap -1Mlada Boleslav win16.9%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss64.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
1-28.6%
2-18.2%

Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice stats

Mlada Boleslav and Teplice recent form

newest first
Mlada Boleslav LLWLWW
Teplice DWLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mlada Boleslav and Teplice going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mlada Boleslav record

  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.

Teplice record

  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Mlada Boleslav wins 2Draws 3Teplice wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-23Mlada BoleslavTepliceCzech Liga0-2
2026-02-15Mlada BoleslavTepliceCzech Liga0-0
2025-09-13TepliceMlada BoleslavCzech Liga2-3
2025-05-04Mlada BoleslavTepliceCzech Liga1-0
2025-02-08Mlada BoleslavTepliceCzech Liga2-1
2024-09-01TepliceMlada BoleslavCzech Liga1-2
2024-04-13Mlada BoleslavTepliceCzech Liga1-2
2023-11-04TepliceMlada BoleslavCzech Liga1-0
2023-04-25TepliceMlada BoleslavCzech Liga1-1
2022-11-06Mlada BoleslavTepliceCzech Liga3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.1%, draw 26.3%, away 29.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.09 3.54 3.14
Bet365 2.05 3.50 3.10
BetVictor 2.10 3.60 3.13
Betano 2.10 3.50 3.15
Betfair 2.10 3.75 3.20
Dafabet 2.13 3.65 3.25
Marathonbet 2.07 3.54 3.12
Pinnacle 2.17 3.51 3.30
SBO 1.96 3.16 2.90
William Hill 2.20 3.30 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.09 ▲ +0.09
X 3.52 ▼ -0.02
2 3.12 ▼ -0.21

12 snapshots recorded, from .