Slavia Praha
vs
Mlada Boleslav
Garuda Lions Prediction: Slavia Praha
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav
| Probability | Slavia Praha | Draw | Mlada Boleslav |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.8% | 27.5% | 20.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.8% | 27.5% | 20.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Slavia Praha
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.92.
Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav match preview
Slavia Praha faces Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Liga with a predicted probability of 52% for a home win, while the chances for a draw and an away victory stand at 28% and 21%, respectively. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.59 for Slavia Praha compared to 0.92 for Mlada Boleslav. Recent form shows Slavia Praha with a mixed record of D-L-W-W-W-L, while Mlada Boleslav has alternated wins and losses, currently at W-L-L-W-L-W.
In their last two encounters, Slavia Praha has secured two victories against Mlada Boleslav, who have yet to register a win in this matchup. The model indicates a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% likelihood of both teams scoring. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the outcome.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Slavia Praha and Mlada Boleslav expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.51
Slavia Praha and Mlada Boleslav attack and defence ratings
Slavia Praha
Mlada Boleslav
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slavia Praha | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slavia Praha | 51.8% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Mlada Boleslav | 20.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.1% |
| No | 50.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Slavia Praha win | 28.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 48.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | |
| 2-0 | 10.3% |
Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav stats
Slavia Praha and Mlada Boleslav recent form
| Slavia Praha |
DLWWWL |
| Mlada Boleslav |
WLLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Slavia Praha and Mlada Boleslav season so far
Slavia Praha record
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mlada Boleslav record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Slavia Praha | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga | 4-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Mlada Boleslav | Slavia Praha | Czech Liga | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.