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Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 12

Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav

1 – 1 Full time

15′Martin Šubert
45′Toumani DiakiteDavid Moses
45′Samuel IsifeMubarak Suleiman
64′Jiří KlímaLukas Letenay
64′Daniel LanghamerFilip Spatenka
65′Michal SadílekDavid Jurasek
71′Martin ŠubertMatej Zachoval
73′Lukáš ProvodDanijel Sturm
85′Tomáš HolešMikulas Konecny
86′Mojmír Chytil
89′Solomon JohnJosef Kolarik
89′Vojtěch Vorel
90′Danijel Sturm

Sinobo Stadium, PragueReferee: Karel Roucek

Slavia Praha 69%
Draw 18%
Mlada Boleslav 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

35 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
66 Possession % 34
11 Corners 5
10 Fouls 10
4 Offsides 2
1 Saves 5
464 Accurate passes 242

Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySlavia PrahaDrawMlada Boleslav
Model51.1%27.1%21.7%
Market74.5%15.5%10.0%
Final68.7%18.4%12.9%
Edge-5.8%+2.9%+2.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Slavia Praha

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.99.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Slavia Praha ↓ / Mlada Boleslav → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 11% 13% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 9%

Slavia Praha and Mlada Boleslav expected goals

Slavia Praha 1.63
Mlada Boleslav 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.61

Slavia Praha and Mlada Boleslav attack and defence ratings

Slavia Praha

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Mlada Boleslav

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav: result vs prediction

Slavia Praha 1 – 1 Mlada Boleslav

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Slavia Praha 68.7% 1.46 -5.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.5% 1.94 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.1% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.9% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Slavia Praha68.7%
Draw18.4%
Mlada Boleslav12.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.4%
Under 2.551.6%
Both teams to scoreYes51.5%
No48.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.1%
12 (either side)81.6%
X2 (draw or away)31.3%
Handicap -1Slavia Praha win27.9%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss48.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
1-010.8%
2-09.7%

Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav stats

Slavia Praha and Mlada Boleslav recent form

newest first
Slavia Praha DDLWWW
Mlada Boleslav WLLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Slavia Praha and Mlada Boleslav going into this match

league record before kick-off

Slavia Praha record

  • They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mlada Boleslav record

  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.

Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

9Slavia Praha wins 1Draws 0Mlada Boleslav wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-07Slavia PrahaMlada BoleslavCzech Liga4-0
2025-08-30Mlada BoleslavSlavia PrahaCzech Liga1-3
2025-02-02Slavia PrahaMlada BoleslavCzech Liga1-0
2024-09-17Mlada BoleslavSlavia PrahaCzech Liga0-2
2024-05-26Slavia PrahaMlada BoleslavCzech Liga4-0
2023-12-10Slavia PrahaMlada BoleslavCzech Liga2-0
2023-08-13Mlada BoleslavSlavia PrahaCzech Liga0-1
2023-04-09Mlada BoleslavSlavia PrahaCzech Liga1-1
2022-10-16Slavia PrahaMlada BoleslavCzech Liga2-1
2021-12-12Slavia PrahaMlada BoleslavCzech Liga2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 74.3%, draw 15.6%, away 10.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.23 6.20 9.40
Bet365 1.25 5.50 8.50
BetVictor 1.22 5.75 9.00
Betano 1.28 5.50 8.50
Betfair 1.22 6.00 10.00
Dafabet 1.28 6.20 9.40
Marathonbet 1.22 6.20 9.40
Pinnacle 1.26 6.44 9.36
SBO 1.23 5.03 6.66
William Hill 1.25 5.80 9.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.25 ▲ +0.01
X 6.00 ▼ -0.19
2 9.36 ▲ +0.16

13 snapshots recorded, from .