FK Jablonec
vs
Slavia Praha
Garuda Lions Prediction: Slavia Praha
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 1.01.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
FK Jablonec vs Slavia Praha overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FK Jablonec vs Slavia Praha
| Probability | FK Jablonec | Draw | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.1% | 29.5% | 44.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.1% | 29.5% | 44.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Slavia Praha
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 1.01.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
FK Jablonec vs Slavia Praha match preview
FK Jablonec faces Slavia Praha in the Czech Liga with a kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, FK Jablonec has a 24% chance of winning, while Slavia Praha is favored with a 47% probability. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at an 11% frequency, with expected goals of 0.99 for Jablonec and 1.48 for Slavia.
In terms of recent form, FK Jablonec has recorded two draws, three losses, and one win in their last six matches, while Slavia Praha has shown stronger performance with three wins, two draws, and one loss. The head-to-head record over the last three encounters shows FK Jablonec with no wins, one draw, and two losses against Slavia Praha. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45%, and both teams are predicted to score in 50% of scenarios.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FK Jablonec and Slavia Praha expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.41
FK Jablonec and Slavia Praha attack and defence ratings
FK Jablonec
Slavia Praha
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
FK Jablonec vs Slavia Praha markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slavia Praha | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Jablonec | 26.1% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Slavia Praha | 44.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.2% |
| No | 50.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Slavia Praha win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 55.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-1 | 11.3% | |
| 0-0 | 10.3% |
FK Jablonec vs Slavia Praha stats
FK Jablonec and Slavia Praha recent form
| FK Jablonec |
DLLWDL |
| Slavia Praha |
DDDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FK Jablonec and Slavia Praha season so far
FK Jablonec record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Slavia Praha record
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FK Jablonec vs Slavia Praha head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Slavia Praha | FK Jablonec | Czech Liga | 5-1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Slavia Praha | FK Jablonec | Czech Liga | 4-3 |
| 2025-08-16 | FK Jablonec | Slavia Praha | Czech Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.