Sigma Olomouc
vs
Zbrojovka Brno
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sigma Olomouc
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.14.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno
| Probability | Sigma Olomouc | Draw | Zbrojovka Brno |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.3% | 26.6% | 25.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.3% | 26.6% | 25.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sigma Olomouc
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno match preview
Sigma Olomouc faces Zbrojovka Brno in a Czech Liga match on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Sigma Olomouc has a 48% probability of winning, while Zbrojovka Brno stands at 25%, with a 27% chance of a draw. The expected goals are 1.66 for Sigma Olomouc and 1.14 for Zbrojovka Brno, suggesting a competitive match. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Sigma Olomouc, with a 10% likelihood.
Recent form shows Sigma Olomouc with a record of D-W-D-L-W-W, while Zbrojovka Brno has D-W-L-L-W-L. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals, and both teams are expected to score with a probability of 56%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sigma Olomouc and Zbrojovka Brno expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
Sigma Olomouc and Zbrojovka Brno attack and defence ratings
Sigma Olomouc
Zbrojovka Brno
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sigma Olomouc | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sigma Olomouc | 48.3% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Zbrojovka Brno | 25.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.3% |
| No | 43.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sigma Olomouc win | 26.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 51.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 8.9% |
Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno stats
Sigma Olomouc and Zbrojovka Brno recent form
| Sigma Olomouc |
DWDLWW |
| Zbrojovka Brno |
DWLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sigma Olomouc and Zbrojovka Brno season so far
Sigma Olomouc record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zbrojovka Brno record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.