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Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 14

Hradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc

5 – 0 Full time

39′Vaclav Sejk
39′Tomáš Čvančara
45′Tomáš Čvančara
45′Michal BeranHilmir Rafn Mikaelsson
49′Tom Sloncik
57′Tomáš Čvančara
60′Tomáš ČvančaraOndřej Mihálik
64′Abdoulaye SyllaTomáš Huk
64′Ahmad Ghali AbubakarFilip Slavicek
69′Mick Van Buren
70′Samuel DancakMatej Valenta
70′Tom SloncikAbdullahi Umar
76′Filip Cihak
82′Dominik JanosekFabijan Krivak
82′Marko SoldoDavid Tkáč
82′Filip CihakJuraj Chvátal
83′Mick Van BurenRodrigo Abajas
87′Ondřej Mihálik

Malsovicka arena, Hradec KrloveReferee: Benes Jan

Hradec Králové 33%
Draw 26%
Sigma Olomouc 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

23 Shots 6
11 Shots on target 1
64 Possession % 36
9 Corners 2
10 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 2
1 Saves 6
452 Accurate passes 342

Hradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHradec KrálovéDrawSigma Olomouc
Model15.3%24.0%60.7%
Market38.5%27.2%34.3%
Final32.7%26.4%40.9%
Edge-5.8%-0.8%+6.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Sigma Olomouc

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 0.85.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Sigma Olomouc below our published probability: +6.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hradec Králové ↓ / Sigma Olomouc → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 11% 12% 7% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Hradec Králové and Sigma Olomouc expected goals

Hradec Králové 0.85
Sigma Olomouc 1.88

Total expected goals: 2.73

Hradec Králové and Sigma Olomouc attack and defence ratings

Hradec Králové

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Sigma Olomouc

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc: result vs prediction

Hradec Králové 5 – 0 Sigma Olomouc

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Hradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sigma Olomouc 40.9% 2.45 +6.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.4% 1.95 — —
Both teams to score No 50.5% 1.98 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.6% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.3% 2.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hradec Králové32.7%
Draw26.4%
Sigma Olomouc40.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.4%
Under 2.548.6%
Both teams to scoreYes49.5%
No50.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.1%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)67.3%
Handicap -1Sigma Olomouc win36.7%
Push (exactly one goal)24.0%
Loss39.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-211.6%
1-111.5%
0-111.2%

Hradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc stats

Hradec Králové and Sigma Olomouc recent form

newest first
Hradec Králové LLDLLW
Sigma Olomouc WDWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hradec Králové and Sigma Olomouc going into this match

league record before kick-off

Hradec Králové record

  • They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 13 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sigma Olomouc record

  • They have won 7 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Hradec Králové wins 4Draws 2Sigma Olomouc wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-31Sigma OlomoucHradec KrálovéCzech Liga1-0
2025-08-24Hradec KrálovéSigma OlomoucCzech Liga1-0
2025-03-16Sigma OlomoucHradec KrálovéCzech Liga1-2
2024-10-19Hradec KrálovéSigma OlomoucCzech Liga1-1
2024-05-12Sigma OlomoucHradec KrálovéCzech Liga1-3
2024-05-05Hradec KrálovéSigma OlomoucCzech Liga3-1
2024-02-17Sigma OlomoucHradec KrálovéCzech Liga0-0
2024-01-13Sigma OlomoucHradec KrálovéTipsport Malta Cup1-1
2023-09-03Hradec KrálovéSigma OlomoucCzech Liga1-3
2023-02-12Sigma OlomoucHradec KrálovéCzech Liga2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.5%, draw 27.2%, away 34.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.38 3.40 2.69
Bet365 2.25 3.40 2.70
BetVictor 2.40 3.30 2.70
Betano 2.42 3.35 2.72
Betfair 2.40 3.40 2.75
Dafabet 2.44 3.50 2.85
Marathonbet 2.38 3.40 2.69
Pinnacle 2.51 3.52 2.76
SBO 2.36 3.12 2.59
William Hill 2.45 3.25 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.40 ▲ +0.10
X 3.40 —
2 2.70 ▼ -0.25

13 snapshots recorded, from .