Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 14

Zlin vs Slovácko

0 – 1 Full time

22′Prince Mbatshi Mukuba
30′Simon Sloncik
45′Frank Appiah
45′Simon SloncikMartin Svidersky
61′David Puskac
62′Frank AppiahLukas Bartosak
62′Tomáš PoznarStanley Guzorochi Kanu
70′Lukas VorlickyPavel Juroska
70′David PuskacJan Fiala
74′Michal CupákDaniel Smiga
74′David MachalíkCletus Nombil
79′Tihomir KostadinovFilip Hruška
86′Miloš KratochvílJiří Štefan
88′Gigli NdefeFilip Vaško
88′Cletus Nombil
90′Filip Vaško

Letná Stadion, ZlínReferee: Karel Roucek

Zlin 37%
Draw 28%
Slovácko 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

4 Shots 21
1 Shots on target 5
32 Possession % 68
3 Corners 3
17 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 1
4 Saves 1
132 Accurate passes 629

Zlin vs Slovácko overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zlin vs Slovácko

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZlinDrawSlovácko
Model36.5%27.0%36.4%
Market36.6%28.2%35.2%
Final36.6%27.9%35.5%
Edge-0.0%-0.3%+0.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zlin ↓ / Slovácko → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 7% 13% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 7%

Zlin and Slovácko expected goals

Zlin 1.46
Slovácko 1.46

Total expected goals: 2.91

Zlin and Slovácko attack and defence ratings

Zlin

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Slovácko

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.38 +38%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zlin vs Slovácko: result vs prediction

Zlin 0 – 1 Slovácko

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Zlin vs Slovácko markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Zlin 36.6% 2.74 -0.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.7% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.0% 1.67 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.1% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.5% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zlin36.6%
Draw27.9%
Slovácko35.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.7%
Under 2.544.3%
Both teams to scoreYes60.0%
No40.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.5%
12 (either side)72.1%
X2 (draw or away)63.4%
Handicap -1Zlin win17.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.7%
Loss63.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
2-18.4%
1-28.4%

Zlin vs Slovácko stats

Zlin and Slovácko recent form

newest first
Zlin DDLLDL
Slovácko LLLWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zlin and Slovácko going into this match

league record before kick-off

Zlin record

  • They have won 0 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Slovácko record

  • They have won 1 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zlin vs Slovácko head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Zlin wins 1Draws 6Slovácko wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-23ZlinSlováckoCzech Liga1-0
2025-11-23SlováckoZlinCzech Liga2-0
2025-07-26ZlinSlováckoCzech Liga1-1
2024-02-18ZlinSlováckoCzech Liga2-1
2023-09-02SlováckoZlinCzech Liga1-0
2023-03-19SlováckoZlinCzech Liga3-0
2022-10-02ZlinSlováckoCzech Liga0-2
2022-02-19ZlinSlováckoCzech Liga1-0
2021-09-18SlováckoZlinCzech Liga3-0
2021-05-29SlováckoZlinCzech Liga2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zlin vs Slovácko odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.6%, draw 28.2%, away 35.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.48 3.32 2.62
Bet365 2.55 3.25 2.55
BetVictor 2.50 3.25 2.60
Betano 2.57 3.15 2.67
Betfair 2.50 3.30 2.70
Dafabet 2.65 3.30 2.75
Marathonbet 2.48 3.32 2.62
Pinnacle 2.66 3.34 2.71
SBO 2.43 3.06 2.56
William Hill 2.60 3.10 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.52 ▼ -0.01
X 3.27 ▼ -0.01
2 2.62 ▼ -0.08

13 snapshots recorded, from .