Slavia Praha
vs
Artis
Garuda Lions Prediction: Slavia Praha
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 0.90.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Slavia Praha is the favourite, not a value bet.
Slavia Praha vs Artis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Slavia Praha vs Artis
| Probability | Slavia Praha | Draw | Artis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.0% | 19.7% | 12.3% |
| Market | 81.2% | 12.4% | 6.4% |
| Final | 77.9% | 14.2% | 7.9% |
| Edge | -3.3% | +1.8% | +1.5% |
Why Slavia Praha
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 0.90.
Best available price on the pick: 1.18, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.1% per unit staked (our 77.9% × 1.18 − 1).
Slavia Praha vs Artis match preview
Slavia Praha enters this matchup with a strong probability of winning at 73%, while Artis has a significantly lower chance of 9%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring with a 12% likelihood. Slavia Praha's expected goals stand at 2.46, indicating a robust attacking performance, while Artis is projected to score only 0.80.
In terms of recent form, Slavia Praha has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Conversely, Artis has struggled, managing only one win in their last six games, with three draws and two losses. The probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is 63%, and both teams are expected to score with a 51% likelihood.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Slavia Praha and Artis expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.20
Slavia Praha and Artis attack and defence ratings
Slavia Praha
Artis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Slavia Praha vs Artis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slavia Praha | 77.9% | 1.28 | -3.3% | 1.18 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Slavia Praha win | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slavia Praha | 77.9% |
| Draw | 14.2% | |
| Artis | 7.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% |
| No | 45.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 22.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Slavia Praha win | 45.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 32.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-1 | 9.3% |
Slavia Praha vs Artis stats
Slavia Praha and Artis recent form
| Slavia Praha |
LWDDDL |
| Artis |
LDDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Slavia Praha and Artis season so far
Slavia Praha record
- They have won 8 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Artis record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Slavia Praha vs Artis head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Slavia Praha vs Artis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 81.2%, draw 12.4%, away 6.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.13 | 7.50 | 15.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.13 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| Betano | 1.18 | 6.70 | 12.50 |
| Betfair | 1.14 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.17 | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.13 | 7.50 | 15.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15 | 8.39 | 13.27 |
| SBO | 1.13 | 5.99 | 9.06 |
| William Hill | 1.15 | 7.50 | 15.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .