Bohemians 1905
vs
Sparta Praha
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sparta Praha
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 1.06.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha
| Probability | Bohemians 1905 | Draw | Sparta Praha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.9% | 28.6% | 45.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 25.9% | 28.6% | 45.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sparta Praha
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 1.06.
Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha match preview
Bohemians 1905 faces Sparta Praha in a Czech Liga match with a kickoff set for November 1, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the match outcome are 26% for Bohemians 1905, 29% for a draw, and 46% for Sparta Praha. The expected goals for Bohemians 1905 stand at 1.06, while Sparta Praha is projected at 1.47. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with an 11% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Bohemians 1905 has recorded a draw, two wins, a loss, and another win in their last six matches. Conversely, Sparta Praha has shown stronger performance with four wins, a draw, and a loss in the same timeframe. Both teams have met twice recently, with each securing one victory. The probability of both teams scoring is estimated at 51%, while the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 46%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bohemians 1905 and Sparta Praha expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
Bohemians 1905 and Sparta Praha attack and defence ratings
Bohemians 1905
Sparta Praha
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sparta Praha | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bohemians 1905 | 25.9% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Sparta Praha | 45.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% |
| No | 48.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sparta Praha win | 23.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 54.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | 10.5% | |
| 0-0 | 9.2% |
Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha stats
Bohemians 1905 and Sparta Praha recent form
| Bohemians 1905 |
DWWLWL |
| Sparta Praha |
WLDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bohemians 1905 and Sparta Praha season so far
Bohemians 1905 record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sparta Praha record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Bohemians 1905 | Sparta Praha | Czech Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Sparta Praha | Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.