Czech Liga Β· Β·Matchday 13

Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec

Garuda Lions Prediction: Pardubice

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Stadion Arnosta Kostala, Pardubice

Pardubice 34%
Draw 34%
Slovan Liberec 32%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Pardubice wins
34%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
85%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
40%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
13% of simulated outcomes

Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPardubiceDrawSlovan Liberec
Model34.3%33.9%31.8%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final34.3%33.9%31.8%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec match preview

Pardubice faces Slovan Liberec in a Czech Liga matchup on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Pardubice has a 34% chance of winning, while Slovan Liberec sits at 32%, with a 34% probability of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Pardubice, with an expected goals tally of 1.01 for Pardubice and 0.96 for Slovan Liberec.

In terms of recent form, Pardubice has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins, one draw, and three losses in their last six matches. Conversely, Slovan Liberec has shown stronger form, winning four of their last six games, with one draw and one loss. Historically, Pardubice has not secured a win against Slovan Liberec in their last two encounters, which both ended in victories for Slovan Liberec.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Pardubice ↓ / Slovan Liberec β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 12% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 31%
No goals 15%

Pardubice and Slovan Liberec expected goals

Pardubice 1.01
Slovan Liberec 0.96

Total expected goals: 1.96

Pardubice and Slovan Liberec attack and defence ratings

Pardubice

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Slovan Liberec

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Pardubice 34.3% 2.92 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 68.6% 1.46 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 59.6% 1.68 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 68.2% 1.47 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 65.7% 1.52 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Pardubice34.3%
Draw33.9%
Slovan Liberec31.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.4%
Under 2.568.6%
Both teams to scoreYes40.4%
No59.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.2%
12 (either side)66.1%
X2 (draw or away)65.7%
Handicap -1Pardubice win13.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss65.7%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.4%
1-114.9%
1-012.8%

Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec stats

Pardubice and Slovan Liberec recent form

newest first
Pardubice WLWWDL
Slovan Liberec LLDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Pardubice and Slovan Liberec season so far

league record

Pardubice record

  • They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.

Slovan Liberec record

  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Pardubice wins 0Draws 2Slovan Liberec wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-22PardubiceSlovan LiberecCzech Liga0-4
2025-07-27Slovan LiberecPardubiceCzech Liga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Pardubice Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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