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Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 11

Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec

1 – 0 Full time

Andruv Stadion, Olomouc

Sigma Olomouc 38%
Draw 28%
Slovan Liberec 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySigma OlomoucDrawSlovan Liberec
Model40.1%30.2%29.6%
Market36.9%27.4%35.7%
Final37.7%28.1%34.2%
Edge+3.2%+2.8%-6.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Sigma Olomouc

  • The market prices Sigma Olomouc below the model: +3.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sigma Olomouc ↓ / Slovan Liberec → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 9% 1 11% 14% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Sigma Olomouc and Slovan Liberec expected goals

Sigma Olomouc 1.30
Slovan Liberec 1.08

Total expected goals: 2.38

Sigma Olomouc and Slovan Liberec attack and defence ratings

Sigma Olomouc

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Slovan Liberec

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec: result vs prediction

Sigma Olomouc 1 – 0 Slovan Liberec

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sigma Olomouc 37.7% 2.65 +3.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.7% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score No 50.8% 1.97 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.9% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.6% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sigma Olomouc37.7%
Draw28.1%
Slovan Liberec34.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.3%
Under 2.557.7%
Both teams to scoreYes49.2%
No50.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.8%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)62.3%
Handicap -1Sigma Olomouc win18.9%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss59.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
1-010.8%
0-010.6%

Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec stats

Sigma Olomouc and Slovan Liberec recent form

newest first
Sigma Olomouc DLWWLW
Slovan Liberec LDWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sigma Olomouc and Slovan Liberec going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sigma Olomouc record

  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Slovan Liberec record

  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Sigma Olomouc wins 3Draws 4Slovan Liberec wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-30Slovan LiberecSigma OlomoucCzech Liga1-0
2025-08-02Sigma OlomoucSlovan LiberecCzech Liga2-1
2024-11-24Sigma OlomoucSlovan LiberecCzech Liga1-4
2024-07-28Slovan LiberecSigma OlomoucCzech Liga1-1
2024-02-10Slovan LiberecSigma OlomoucCzech Liga2-0
2023-08-27Sigma OlomoucSlovan LiberecCzech Liga2-0
2023-02-18Slovan LiberecSigma OlomoucCzech Liga2-2
2022-11-26Slovan LiberecSigma OlomoucCup4-1
2022-08-31Sigma OlomoucSlovan LiberecCzech Liga1-1
2022-04-30Slovan LiberecSigma OlomoucCzech Liga0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.0%, draw 27.4%, away 35.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.49 3.36 2.58
Bet365 2.40 3.25 2.62
BetVictor 2.50 3.30 2.55
Betano 2.40 3.35 2.72
Betfair 2.55 3.50 2.60
Dafabet 2.55 3.50 2.70
Marathonbet 2.49 3.36 2.58
Pinnacle 2.55 3.63 2.63
SBO 2.39 2.95 2.42
William Hill 2.50 3.40 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.50 ▲ +0.04
X 3.36 ▼ -0.05
2 2.58 ▼ -0.04

12 snapshots recorded, from .