Slovácko
vs
Zbrojovka Brno
Garuda Lions Prediction: Slovácko
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno
| Probability | Slovácko | Draw | Zbrojovka Brno |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.2% | 30.3% | 33.5% |
| Market | 37.5% | 28.2% | 34.2% |
| Final | 37.2% | 28.7% | 34.1% |
| Edge | -1.3% | +2.1% | -0.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.56, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno match preview
Slovácko faces Zbrojovka Brno in a Czech Liga matchup with probabilities indicating a competitive contest. Slovácko has a 38% chance of winning, while Zbrojovka Brno stands at 33%, and a draw is assessed at 29%. The expected goals for Slovácko is 1.22, slightly edging out Zbrojovka Brno's 1.17, suggesting a closely matched offensive performance.
Recent form shows Slovácko with a record of W-D-L-D-D-L, while Zbrojovka Brno has improved recently with L-L-W-L-W-W. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Slovácko, with a 10% probability. Additionally, there is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Slovácko and Zbrojovka Brno expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Slovácko and Zbrojovka Brno attack and defence ratings
Slovácko
Zbrojovka Brno
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slovácko | 37.2% | 2.69 | -1.3% | 2.56 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slovácko | 37.2% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| Zbrojovka Brno | 34.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% |
| No | 50.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Slovácko win | 16.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 63.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 10.4% | |
| 1-0 | 9.9% |
Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno stats
Slovácko and Zbrojovka Brno recent form
| Slovácko |
WDLDDL |
| Zbrojovka Brno |
LLWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Slovácko and Zbrojovka Brno season so far
Slovácko record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zbrojovka Brno record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-29 | Zbrojovka Brno | Slovácko | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2023-04-30 | Slovácko | Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga | 1-0 |
| 2022-07-30 | Zbrojovka Brno | Slovácko | Czech Liga | 2-2 |
| 2021-04-21 | Slovácko | Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga | 4-2 |
| 2020-12-16 | Zbrojovka Brno | Slovácko | Czech Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.6%, draw 28.3%, away 34.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.44 | 3.34 | 2.66 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.20 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.46 | 3.35 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.44 | 3.34 | 2.66 |
| Pinnacle | 2.56 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
| SBO | 2.29 | 2.97 | 2.53 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .