Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 11

Pardubice vs Zlin

3 – 0 Full time

15′Marek Icha
33′Victor Samuel
45′Daniel SmigaTomáš Poznar
45′Cletus NombilFrank Appiah
55′Michal Fukala
59′Michal FukalaStanley Guzorochi Kanu
60′Ioannis Foivos BotosTomas Jelinek
64′Tomas Jelinek
69′Ondřej KukučkaDavid Grygera
71′Victor SamuelKahuan Vinicius
72′Václav DrchalMartin Reil
76′David MachalíkMichal Cupák
85′Ryan MahutaMouhamed Tidjane Traore
85′Marek IchaJiri Zima

Letni Stadion, PardubiceReferee: Lukas Nehasil

Pardubice 55%
Draw 25%
Zlin 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
52 Possession % 48
3 Corners 2
15 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1
3 Saves 3
449 Accurate passes 243

Pardubice vs Zlin overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Pardubice vs Zlin

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPardubiceDrawZlin
Model49.9%27.6%22.6%
Market57.2%24.3%18.5%
Final55.4%25.1%19.5%
Edge-7.3%+3.3%+4.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Pardubice

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.99.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Pardubice ↓ / Zlin → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 11% 13% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Pardubice and Zlin expected goals

Pardubice 1.58
Zlin 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.58

Pardubice and Zlin attack and defence ratings

Pardubice

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Zlin

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Pardubice vs Zlin: result vs prediction

Pardubice 3 – 0 Zlin

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Pardubice vs Zlin markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Pardubice 55.4% 1.81 -7.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.2% 1.95 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.5% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.1% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Pardubice55.4%
Draw25.1%
Zlin19.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.6%
Under 2.552.4%
Both teams to scoreYes51.2%
No48.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.5%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)44.6%
Handicap -1Pardubice win26.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss50.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
1-010.8%
2-09.5%

Pardubice vs Zlin stats

Pardubice and Zlin recent form

newest first
Pardubice LWWDLL
Zlin LDLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Pardubice and Zlin going into this match

league record before kick-off

Pardubice record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.

Zlin record

  • They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Pardubice vs Zlin head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Pardubice wins 3Draws 4Zlin wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25PardubiceZlinCzech Liga3-1
2025-10-25ZlinPardubiceCzech Liga2-2
2024-05-04PardubiceZlinCzech Liga2-0
2024-04-14ZlinPardubiceCzech Liga1-1
2023-11-04PardubiceZlinCzech Liga0-1
2023-05-21PardubiceZlinCzech Liga1-2
2023-02-19PardubiceZlinCzech Liga2-1
2022-08-30ZlinPardubiceCzech Liga2-1
2022-05-10PardubiceZlinCzech Liga1-1
2022-03-19ZlinPardubiceCzech Liga4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Pardubice vs Zlin odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 57.2%, draw 24.3%, away 18.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.62 3.82 4.98
Bet365 1.65 3.60 4.75
BetVictor 1.62 3.90 5.25
Betano 1.65 3.70 4.80
Betfair 1.60 4.00 5.00
Dafabet 1.67 3.90 5.20
Marathonbet 1.60 3.82 5.00
Pinnacle 1.63 4.01 5.31
SBO 1.52 3.43 4.64
William Hill 1.62 3.70 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.62 ▼ -0.13
X 3.82 ▲ +0.22
2 5.00 ▲ +0.70

12 snapshots recorded, from .