Zlin
vs
Sigma Olomouc
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sigma Olomouc
0 β 2 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
Zlin vs Sigma Olomouc overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zlin vs Sigma Olomouc
| Probability | Zlin | Draw | Sigma Olomouc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.6% | 21.3% | 64.1% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 14.6% | 21.3% | 64.1% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Sigma Olomouc
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Zlin vs Sigma Olomouc match preview
Zlin faces Sigma Olomouc in their upcoming Czech Liga match, with Zlin showing a struggling form of L-L-D-L-L-L in their last six games. In contrast, Sigma Olomouc has a more favorable recent record, registering D-L-W-W-L-W. According to our model, Zlin has a 15% chance of winning, while Sigma Olomouc is favored at 64%, with a predicted scoreline of 0-2 being the most likely outcome at 10%.
The expected goals for this match indicate Zlin at 0.96 and Sigma Olomouc at 2.17, suggesting a significant offensive advantage for the visitors. Additionally, there is a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance that both teams will score. The head-to-head record over the last two encounters shows each team with one victory.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zlin and Sigma Olomouc expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
Zlin and Sigma Olomouc attack and defence ratings
Zlin
Sigma Olomouc
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zlin vs Sigma Olomouc markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sigma Olomouc | 64.1% | 1.56 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% | 1.80 | β | β |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.4% | 1.17 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Sigma Olomouc win | 41.6% | 2.41 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zlin | 14.6% |
| Draw | 21.3% | |
| Sigma Olomouc | 64.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% |
| No | 44.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 35.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sigma Olomouc win | 41.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 35.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.3% |
| 1-1 | 10.0% | |
| 1-2 | 9.9% |
Zlin vs Sigma Olomouc stats
Zlin and Sigma Olomouc recent form
| LLDLLL | |
| DLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zlin and Sigma Olomouc season so far
Zlin record
- They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sigma Olomouc record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zlin vs Sigma Olomouc head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | Zlin | Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga | 5-0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Sigma Olomouc | Zlin | Czech Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.