Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 12

Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905

2 – 2 Full time

2′Amadou Dante
9′Matěj Kadlec
45′Jan MatoušekVáclav Pilař
45′Matěj KadlecJan Kovařík
48′Aleš Čermák
64′Martin RymarenkoAntonín Vaníček
64′Petr ŠevčíkJakub Janetzky
66′Ladislav AlmásiLadislav Krobot
74′Lukáš Penxa
75′Daniel VasulinLucky Ezeh
81′Vojtech SmrzSamuel Obinaya
81′Tadeáš VachoušekJaromír Zmrhal
81′Štěpán LangerPatrik Cavos
82′Roman Kvet
90′Aleš ČermákDavid Heidenreich

Mestsky Fotbalovy Stadion Srbska, BrnoReferee: Marek Radina

Zbrojovka Brno 40%
Draw 29%
Bohemians 1905 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 3
44 Possession % 56
9 Corners 5
8 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 2
1 Saves 3
292 Accurate passes 388

Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZbrojovka BrnoDrawBohemians 1905
Model34.3%31.6%34.1%
Market41.4%28.6%30.0%
Final39.6%29.4%31.0%
Edge-1.8%+0.7%+1.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zbrojovka Brno ↓ / Bohemians 1905 → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 11% 1 11% 15% 7% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

Zbrojovka Brno and Bohemians 1905 expected goals

Zbrojovka Brno 1.12
Bohemians 1905 1.11

Total expected goals: 2.23

Zbrojovka Brno and Bohemians 1905 attack and defence ratings

Zbrojovka Brno

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Bohemians 1905

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905: result vs prediction

Zbrojovka Brno 2 – 2 Bohemians 1905

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Zbrojovka Brno 39.6% 2.53 -1.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.5% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score No 53.5% 1.87 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.6% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.7% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zbrojovka Brno39.6%
Draw29.4%
Bohemians 190531.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.5%
Under 2.561.5%
Both teams to scoreYes46.5%
No53.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.0%
12 (either side)70.6%
X2 (draw or away)60.4%
Handicap -1Zbrojovka Brno win14.5%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss65.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-012.1%
1-010.7%

Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905 stats

Zbrojovka Brno and Bohemians 1905 recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zbrojovka Brno and Bohemians 1905 going into this match

league record before kick-off

Zbrojovka Brno record

  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Bohemians 1905 record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905 head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Zbrojovka Brno wins 2Draws 2Bohemians 1905 wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-02-25Bohemians 1905Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga1-1
2022-09-04Zbrojovka BrnoBohemians 1905Czech Liga1-2
2021-02-06Bohemians 1905Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga2-1
2020-08-30Zbrojovka BrnoBohemians 1905Czech Liga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 28.8%, away 30.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.23 3.04 3.31
Bet365 2.20 3.30 2.90
BetVictor 2.20 3.30 3.00
Betano 2.27 3.15 3.10
Betfair 2.25 3.30 3.00
Dafabet 2.29 3.35 3.20
Marathonbet 2.21 3.04 3.28
Pinnacle 2.36 3.00 3.44
SBO 2.06 3.04 2.81
William Hill 2.25 3.25 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 ▲ +0.08
X 3.25 ▲ +0.21
2 3.10 ▼ -0.39

12 snapshots recorded, from .