Czech Liga Β· Β·Matchday 12

Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905

Garuda Lions Prediction: Bohemians 1905

0 – 1 Predicted score Β· 11% model probability

Zbrojovka Brno 33%
Draw 32%
Bohemians 1905 35%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Bohemians 1905 wins
35%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
87%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
46%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
11% of simulated outcomes

Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZbrojovka BrnoDrawBohemians 1905
Model33.4%31.9%34.7%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final33.4%31.9%34.7%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905 match preview

Zbrojovka Brno faces Bohemians 1905 in the Czech Liga, with kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Zbrojovka Brno has a 33% probability of winning, while Bohemians 1905 holds a slight edge at 35%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at an 11% probability. The expected goals for Zbrojovka Brno stand at 1.08, compared to Bohemians 1905's 1.11.

In terms of recent form, Zbrojovka Brno has recorded two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Bohemians 1905 has achieved three wins, one loss, and one draw in the same period. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37%, and both teams to score is at 46%. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zbrojovka Brno ↓ / Bohemians 1905 β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 11% 1 11% 15% 7% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Zbrojovka Brno and Bohemians 1905 expected goals

Zbrojovka Brno 1.08
Bohemians 1905 1.11

Total expected goals: 2.19

Zbrojovka Brno and Bohemians 1905 attack and defence ratings

Zbrojovka Brno

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Bohemians 1905

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bohemians 1905 34.7% 2.88 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.5% 1.60 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 54.4% 1.84 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 68.1% 1.47 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 65.3% 1.53 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zbrojovka Brno33.4%
Draw31.9%
Bohemians 190534.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.5%
Under 2.562.5%
Both teams to scoreYes45.6%
No54.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.3%
12 (either side)68.1%
X2 (draw or away)66.6%
Handicap -1Bohemians 1905 win14.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss65.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-012.5%
0-111.0%

Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905 stats

Zbrojovka Brno and Bohemians 1905 recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zbrojovka Brno and Bohemians 1905 season so far

league record

Zbrojovka Brno record

  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Bohemians 1905 record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905 head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905 odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Bohemians 1905 Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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