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Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 10

Zlin vs Slavia Praha

0 – 1 Full time

Stadion Letna, ZlinReferee: M. Radina

Zlin 9%
Draw 16%
Slavia Praha 74%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Zlin vs Slavia Praha overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zlin vs Slavia Praha

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZlinDrawSlavia Praha
Model8.3%14.5%77.2%
Market9.5%17.0%73.5%
Final9.2%16.4%74.4%
Edge-1.1%-2.5%+3.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Slavia Praha

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.89 vs 0.91.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Slavia Praha below the model: +3.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zlin ↓ / Slavia Praha → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 13% 1 9% 8% 12% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Zlin and Slavia Praha expected goals

Zlin 0.91
Slavia Praha 2.89

Total expected goals: 3.81

Zlin and Slavia Praha attack and defence ratings

Zlin

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Slavia Praha

Attack 1.69 +69%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zlin vs Slavia Praha: result vs prediction

Zlin 0 – 1 Slavia Praha

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Zlin vs Slavia Praha markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Slavia Praha 74.4% 1.34 +3.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.2% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.2% 1.75 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 90.8% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 Slavia Praha win 58.1% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zlin9.2%
Draw16.4%
Slavia Praha74.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.2%
Under 2.526.8%
Both teams to scoreYes57.2%
No42.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)25.6%
12 (either side)83.6%
X2 (draw or away)90.8%
Handicap -1Slavia Praha win58.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss22.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-29.3%
0-39.0%
1-28.5%

Zlin vs Slavia Praha stats

Zlin and Slavia Praha recent form

newest first
Zlin DLLLLL
Slavia Praha WWLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zlin and Slavia Praha going into this match

league record before kick-off

Zlin record

  • They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Slavia Praha record

  • They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zlin vs Slavia Praha head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Zlin wins 2Draws 8Slavia Praha wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-14ZlinSlavia PrahaCzech Liga1-3
2025-10-29ZlinSlavia PrahaCup0-4
2025-10-18Slavia PrahaZlinCzech Liga0-0
2024-02-14ZlinSlavia PrahaCzech Liga1-1
2023-08-06Slavia PrahaZlinCzech Liga2-1
2022-11-13ZlinSlavia PrahaCzech Liga0-4
2022-08-07Slavia PrahaZlinCzech Liga4-1
2022-04-20Slavia PrahaZlinCzech Liga3-0
2021-12-15Slavia PrahaZlinCup3-1
2021-07-25ZlinSlavia PrahaCzech Liga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zlin vs Slavia Praha odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 9.5%, draw 17.0%, away 73.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 10.00 5.55 1.25
Bet365 10.00 5.00 1.27
BetVictor 9.50 5.25 1.25
Betano 9.50 5.30 1.27
Betfair 11.00 5.50 1.22
Dafabet 9.80 5.80 1.29
Marathonbet 10.00 5.55 1.24
Pinnacle 9.64 5.89 1.28
SBO 7.24 4.78 1.23
William Hill 9.50 5.00 1.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 9.72 ▼ -0.65
X 5.40 ▼ -0.22
2 1.25 ▲ +0.02

13 snapshots recorded, from .