Czech Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Slavia Praha
vs
Plzen
2 – 1 Full time
| 8′ | Amar Memić | ||
| 55′ | Štěpán Chaloupek | ||
| 56′ | Sampson Dweh | ||
| 63′ | Samuel IsifeLukáš Provod | ||
| 64′ | Amar Memić | ||
| 70′ | Amar MemićSalim Fago Lawal | ||
| 71′ | Christophe KabongoPrince Kwabena Adu | ||
| 74′ | Štěpán Chaloupek | ||
| 75′ | Tomáš HolešDavid Moses | ||
| 75′ | Danijel ŠturmPavel Kačor | ||
| 75′ | Alexandr SojkaTomáš Ladra | ||
| 77′ | Adam Gabriel | ||
| 87′ | Adam GabrielKarel Spáčil | ||
| 88′ | David JurásekIvan Schranz | ||
| 90′ | Tomáš Chorý | ||
| 90′ | Tomáš ChorýMikuláš Konečný | ||
| 90′ | Prince Kwabena AduStefan Pirgić |
Slavia Praha
66%
Draw
20%
Plzen
14%
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 446 | Accurate passes | 215 |
Slavia Praha vs Plzen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Slavia Praha vs Plzen
| Probability | Slavia Praha | Draw | Plzen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.1% | 15.2% | 11.7% |
| Market | 63.7% | 21.1% | 15.3% |
| Final | 66.0% | 19.6% | 14.4% |
| Edge | +9.5% | -5.9% | -3.6% |
Why Slavia Praha
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.02 vs 1.23.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Slavia Praha below the model: +9.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
93%
3+ goals
80%
No goals
2%
Slavia Praha and Plzen expected goals
Slavia Praha
3.02
Plzen
1.23
Total expected goals: 4.25
Slavia Praha and Plzen attack and defence ratings
Slavia Praha
Attack
1.71 +71%
Defence
0.81 -19%
Plzen
Attack
1.22 +22%
Defence
1.24 +24%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Slavia Praha vs Plzen: result vs prediction
Slavia Praha 2 – 1 Plzen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Slavia Praha vs Plzen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slavia Praha | 66.0% | 1.51 | +9.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Slavia Praha win | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slavia Praha | 66.0% |
| Draw | 19.6% | |
| Plzen | 14.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% |
| No | 32.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Slavia Praha win | 54.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 27.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 8.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.0% | |
| 3-0 | 6.6% |
Slavia Praha vs Plzen stats
Slavia Praha and Plzen recent form
| Slavia Praha |
WLWWDD |
| Plzen |
LLDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Slavia Praha and Plzen going into this match
Slavia Praha record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 2.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Plzen record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.6 at home.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Slavia Praha vs Plzen head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
7Slavia Praha wins
1Draws
2Plzen wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Slavia Praha | Plzen | Czech Liga | 3-0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Slavia Praha | Plzen | Czech Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Plzen | Slavia Praha | Czech Liga | 3-5 |
| 2025-05-03 | Slavia Praha | Plzen | Czech Liga | 4-3 |
| 2025-02-23 | Plzen | Slavia Praha | Czech Liga | 1-3 |
| 2024-09-21 | Slavia Praha | Plzen | Czech Liga | 3-0 |
| 2024-05-15 | Slavia Praha | Plzen | Czech Liga | 3-0 |
| 2024-04-14 | Plzen | Slavia Praha | Czech Liga | 1-0 |
| 2023-11-05 | Slavia Praha | Plzen | Czech Liga | 1-2 |
| 2023-05-20 | Slavia Praha | Plzen | Czech Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Slavia Praha vs Plzen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.7%, draw 21.1%, away 15.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 4.50 | 6.12 |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 4.20 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.35 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 4.50 | 6.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46 | 4.60 | 6.50 |
| SBO | 1.40 | 4.00 | 5.51 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.44 ▼ -0.18
X
4.35 ▲ +0.40
2
6.00 ▲ +1.25
9 snapshots recorded, from .