Czech Liga · 2026-09-20T13:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 9

FK Jablonec vs Zlin

1 – 1 Full time

3′			D. Smiga
41′			J. Cernin
46′			M. FukalaD. Grygera
46′			J. StefanT. Hellebrand
60′			J. ChramostaL. Jawo
60′			H. AhlG. Kuol
61′			D. SmigaT. Poznar
70′			S. NebylaF. Zorvan
70′			D. HollyF. Vecheta
74′			D. MachalikP. Mbatshi
83′			S. AlioumJ. Slama
88′			T. HellebrandJ. Didiba
90′			G. Kuol
90′			T. Poznar

Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad NisouReferee: Pavel Orel, Czechia

FK Jablonec

65%

Draw

22%

Zlin

13%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

26	Shots	6
8	Shots on target	4
78	Possession %	22
9	Corners	3
9	Fouls	16
2	Offsides	0
3	Saves	7
564	Accurate passes	103

FK Jablonec vs Zlin overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FK Jablonec vs Zlin

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	FK Jablonec	Draw	Zlin
Model	62.9%	22.9%	14.2%
Market	66.2%	21.4%	12.4%
Final	65.4%	21.8%	12.8%
Edge	-3.4%	+1.5%	+1.9%

Confidence: Low

Why FK Jablonec

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 0.84.
Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

93%

2+ goals

78%

3+ goals

53%

No goals

FK Jablonec and Zlin expected goals

FK Jablonec

1.97

Zlin

0.84

Total expected goals: 2.81

FK Jablonec and Zlin attack and defence ratings

FK Jablonec

Attack

0.94 -6%

Defence

0.81 -19%

Zlin

Attack

0.84 -16%

Defence

1.45 +45%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FK Jablonec vs Zlin: result vs prediction

FK Jablonec 1 – 1 Zlin

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Czech Liga

Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno — team news & stats · 2026-09-19
Pardubice v Bohemians 1905 — match page · 2026-09-19
Artis vs Slovan Liberec — team news & stats · 2026-09-19
Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava — team news & stats · 2026-09-19
Hradec Králové vs Teplice · 2026-09-20
Sigma Olomouc v Sparta Praha — match page · 2026-09-20
Slavia Praha v Plzen — match page · 2026-09-20

Before and after this match

FK Jablonec, previous: Sparta Praha – FK Jablonec, 2026-09-12
FK Jablonec, next: Zbrojovka Brno – FK Jablonec, 2026-10-10
Zlin, previous: Zlin vs Hradec Králové prediction
Zlin, next: Zlin vs Slavia Praha: odds and pick

FK Jablonec vs Zlin markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	FK Jablonec	65.4%	1.53	-3.4%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	53.3%	1.87	—	—
Both teams to score	No	50.1%	2.00	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	87.2%	1.15	—	—
Handicap -1	FK Jablonec win	38.9%	2.57	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	FK Jablonec	65.4%
	Draw	21.8%
	Zlin	12.8%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	53.3%
	Under 2.5	46.7%
Both teams to score	Yes	49.9%
	No	50.1%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	87.2%
	12 (either side)	78.2%
	X2 (draw or away)	34.6%
Handicap -1	FK Jablonec win	38.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	23.8%
	Loss	37.3%
Correct score (top 3)	2-0	11.7%
	1-1	11.0%
	1-0	10.9%

FK Jablonec vs Zlin stats

FK Jablonec and Zlin recent form

newest first

FK Jablonec	LWLDLW
Zlin	LLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FK Jablonec and Zlin going into this match

league record before kick-off

FK Jablonec record

They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Zlin record

They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FK Jablonec vs Zlin head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2FK Jablonec wins 7Draws 1Zlin wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-04	Zlin	FK Jablonec	Czech Liga	0-3
2025-11-01	FK Jablonec	Zlin	Czech Liga	1-3
2024-05-25	FK Jablonec	Zlin	Czech Liga	1-0
2024-04-20	FK Jablonec	Zlin	Czech Liga	0-0
2023-11-11	Zlin	FK Jablonec	Czech Liga	1-1
2023-05-06	Zlin	FK Jablonec	Czech Liga	1-1
2023-02-04	FK Jablonec	Zlin	Czech Liga	2-2
2022-08-21	Zlin	FK Jablonec	Czech Liga	2-2
2022-05-14	Zlin	FK Jablonec	Czech Liga	1-1
2022-04-10	FK Jablonec	Zlin	Czech Liga	1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FK Jablonec vs Zlin odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.2%, draw 21.4%, away 12.4%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	1.39	4.33	7.75
Bet365	1.44	3.90	7.00
BetVictor	1.40	4.33	8.00
Betano	1.44	4.05	7.20
Betfair	1.40	4.33	7.50
Marathonbet	1.38	4.33	7.70
Pinnacle	1.44	4.38	7.61
SBO	1.40	3.93	6.38
William Hill	1.40	4.00	7.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 ▲ +0.01

X 4.33 ▲ +0.08

2 7.50 —

9 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-16T08:10:02Z.