Czech Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Sparta Praha
vs
FK Jablonec
2 – 0 Full time
| 8′ | Martin Suchomel | ||
| 19′ | Josimar Alcocer | ||
| 40′ | Nelson Okeke | ||
| 45′ | Lamin JawoAntonín Růsek | ||
| 45′ | Matej PolidarSaidou Alioum Moubarak | ||
| 45′ | Nelson OkekeSebastian·Nebyla | ||
| 56′ | John Mercado | ||
| 61′ | Josimar Alcocer | ||
| 62′ | Saidou Alioum Moubarak | ||
| 63′ | Hugo SochurekSantiago Eneme | ||
| 71′ | Richard SedláčekDaniel Soucek | ||
| 72′ | Josimar AlcocerEbrima Singhateh | ||
| 72′ | John MercadoMatej Jurasek | ||
| 79′ | Martin SuchomelPavel Kadeřábek | ||
| 79′ | Jonatan Braut BrunesMatyáš Vojta | ||
| 79′ | Filip ZorvanFilip Vecheta |
Sparta Praha
53%
Draw
24%
FK Jablonec
23%
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 69 | Possession % | 31 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 462 | Accurate passes | 247 |
Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec
| Probability | Sparta Praha | Draw | FK Jablonec |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.0% | 28.2% | 37.8% |
| Market | 58.8% | 22.7% | 18.5% |
| Final | 52.6% | 24.1% | 23.3% |
| Edge | -24.7% | +5.5% | +19.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
8%
Sparta Praha and FK Jablonec expected goals
Sparta Praha
1.32
FK Jablonec
1.39
Total expected goals: 2.71
Sparta Praha and FK Jablonec attack and defence ratings
Sparta Praha
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
1.10 +10%
FK Jablonec
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec: result vs prediction
Sparta Praha 2 – 0 FK Jablonec
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sparta Praha | 52.6% | 1.90 | -24.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sparta Praha | 52.6% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| FK Jablonec | 23.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% |
| No | 43.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sparta Praha win | 15.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 65.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 0-1 | 8.1% |
Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec stats
Sparta Praha and FK Jablonec recent form
| Sparta Praha |
LLWWLL |
| FK Jablonec |
WLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sparta Praha and FK Jablonec going into this match
Sparta Praha record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
FK Jablonec record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
7Sparta Praha wins
2Draws
1FK Jablonec wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Sparta Praha | FK Jablonec | Czech Liga | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Sparta Praha | FK Jablonec | Czech Liga | 3-1 |
| 2025-07-19 | FK Jablonec | Sparta Praha | Czech Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Sparta Praha | FK Jablonec | Czech Liga | 1-3 |
| 2024-12-15 | Sparta Praha | FK Jablonec | Czech Liga | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-17 | FK Jablonec | Sparta Praha | Czech Liga | 1-2 |
| 2023-12-09 | Sparta Praha | FK Jablonec | Czech Liga | 3-0 |
| 2023-08-12 | FK Jablonec | Sparta Praha | Czech Liga | 1-5 |
| 2023-02-19 | Sparta Praha | FK Jablonec | Czech Liga | 3-0 |
| 2022-08-30 | FK Jablonec | Sparta Praha | Czech Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.0%, draw 22.5%, away 18.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.44 | 4.30 | 6.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 4.15 | 5.03 |
| 888Sport | 1.60 | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.90 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.61 | 4.30 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 4.15 | 5.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 4.21 | 5.02 |
| Unibet | 1.54 | 4.10 | 5.50 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.90 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.58 ▲ +0.13
X
4.08 ▼ -0.47
2
5.01 ▼ -1.05
13 snapshots recorded, from .