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Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

Hradec Králové vs Sparta Praha

2 – 1 Full time

3′Ki-Jana Hoever
10′V. Darida
25′M. van Buren
36′A. Karabec
43′Mick van Buren
43′Josimar Alcócer
52′T. SloncikT. Petrasek
57′J. ZelenyM. Jurasek
57′A. IrvingH. Sochurek
59′John Mercado
68′Roman Macek
69′J. AlcocerM. Vojta
71′S. DancakA. Vlkanova
80′Tomáš Čvančara
83′K. HoeverM. Suchomel
83′L. Mbe SohA. Sevinsky
84′D. TrubacM. Valenta
84′T. CvancaraA. Umar
89′Vladimír Darida

Malsovicka arena, Hradec KraloveReferee: Marek Radina, Czechia

Hradec Králové 29%
Draw 27%
Sparta Praha 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 6
30 Possession % 70
9 Corners 7
16 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 3
5 Saves 3
171 Accurate passes 515

Hradec Králové vs Sparta Praha overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hradec Králové vs Sparta Praha

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHradec KrálovéDrawSparta Praha
Model29.9%29.1%41.0%
Market29.3%25.8%44.9%
Final29.5%26.6%43.9%
Edge+0.6%+3.3%-3.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Sparta Praha

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hradec Králové ↓ / Sparta Praha → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 10% 8% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Hradec Králové and Sparta Praha expected goals

Hradec Králové 1.15
Sparta Praha 1.38

Total expected goals: 2.53

Hradec Králové and Sparta Praha attack and defence ratings

Hradec Králové

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Sparta Praha

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hradec Králové vs Sparta Praha: result vs prediction

Hradec Králové 2 – 1 Sparta Praha

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Hradec Králové vs Sparta Praha markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sparta Praha 43.9% 2.28 -3.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.5% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.5% 1.91 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.4% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.0% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hradec Králové29.5%
Draw26.6%
Sparta Praha43.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.5%
Under 2.553.5%
Both teams to scoreYes52.5%
No47.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.1%
12 (either side)73.4%
X2 (draw or away)70.5%
Handicap -1Sparta Praha win19.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss59.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-19.7%
0-09.2%

Hradec Králové vs Sparta Praha stats

Hradec Králové and Sparta Praha recent form

newest first
Hradec Králové LLLDLW
Sparta Praha LWWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hradec Králové and Sparta Praha going into this match

league record before kick-off

Hradec Králové record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sparta Praha record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Hradec Králové vs Sparta Praha head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Hradec Králové wins 1Draws 8Sparta Praha wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-24Sparta PrahaHradec KrálovéCzech Liga2-1
2026-02-15Sparta PrahaHradec KrálovéCzech Liga2-0
2025-09-14Hradec KrálovéSparta PrahaCzech Liga2-1
2025-02-09Sparta PrahaHradec KrálovéCzech Liga3-0
2024-08-31Hradec KrálovéSparta PrahaCzech Liga0-2
2024-03-17Sparta PrahaHradec KrálovéCzech Liga2-1
2023-10-08Hradec KrálovéSparta PrahaCzech Liga1-3
2023-03-18Hradec KrálovéSparta PrahaCzech Liga0-2
2022-10-01Sparta PrahaHradec KrálovéCzech Liga2-1
2022-04-30Sparta PrahaHradec KrálovéCzech Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hradec Králové vs Sparta Praha odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 28.8%, draw 26.3%, away 44.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.20 3.35 2.10
1xBet 3.19 3.64 2.06
Bet365 3.10 3.50 2.05
BetVictor 3.10 3.50 2.05
Betano 3.30 3.25 2.12
Betfair 3.30 3.50 2.05
Dafabet 3.35 3.45 2.16
Marathonbet 3.18 3.64 2.04
Pinnacle 3.29 3.72 2.10
Unibet 3.50 3.50 2.00
William Hill 3.10 3.50 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.14 ▼ -0.16
X 3.57 ▲ +0.15
2 2.05 —

9 snapshots recorded, from .