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Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec

1 – 2 Full time

27′Aziz Kayondo
35′Lukáš Mašek
45′Lamin Jawo
46′J. KozeluhP. Dulay
46′P. HodousM. Lexa
50′P. Dulay
61′J. SuchanF. Zorvan
61′J. SlamaJ. Chramosta
62′Lukáš Masopust
67′Milan Lexa
70′S. Alioum
71′L. MasekA. Buzek
71′L. MasopustV. Stransky
75′S. NebylaN. Okeke
76′S. AlioumD. Holly
80′V. Kusej
84′R. SedlacekF. Vecheta
87′V. KusejP. Julis
88′Dušan Pavlović

Stadion Střelnice, JablonecReferee: Ondrej Berka, Czechia

FK Jablonec 33%
Draw 31%
Slovan Liberec 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

26 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 3
65 Possession % 35
4 Corners 2
11 Fouls 24
1 Offsides 2
1 Saves 6
380 Accurate passes 178

FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFK JablonecDrawSlovan Liberec
Model34.2%34.5%31.3%
Market32.2%29.9%37.9%
Final32.7%31.1%36.2%
Edge+2.0%+4.6%-6.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Slovan Liberec

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FK Jablonec ↓ / Slovan Liberec → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 12% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 58%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

FK Jablonec and Slovan Liberec expected goals

FK Jablonec 0.98
Slovan Liberec 0.92

Total expected goals: 1.90

FK Jablonec and Slovan Liberec attack and defence ratings

FK Jablonec

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Slovan Liberec

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec: result vs prediction

FK Jablonec 1 – 2 Slovan Liberec

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Slovan Liberec 36.2% 2.76 -6.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70.4% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score No 61.1% 1.64 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 68.9% 1.45 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.9% 1.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FK Jablonec32.7%
Draw31.1%
Slovan Liberec36.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.529.6%
Under 2.570.4%
Both teams to scoreYes38.9%
No61.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.8%
12 (either side)68.9%
X2 (draw or away)67.3%
Handicap -1Slovan Liberec win11.5%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss68.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.3%
1-114.8%
1-013.3%

FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec stats

FK Jablonec and Slovan Liberec recent form

newest first
FK Jablonec DLWLWW
Slovan Liberec WWDWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FK Jablonec and Slovan Liberec going into this match

league record before kick-off

FK Jablonec record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Slovan Liberec record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.

FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3FK Jablonec wins 5Draws 2Slovan Liberec wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-24FK JablonecSlovan LiberecCzech Liga2-1
2026-04-25FK JablonecSlovan LiberecCzech Liga1-2
2025-10-25Slovan LiberecFK JablonecCzech Liga0-2
2025-03-08FK JablonecSlovan LiberecCzech Liga0-0
2024-10-05Slovan LiberecFK JablonecCzech Liga0-5
2024-02-24Slovan LiberecFK JablonecCzech Liga3-3
2023-09-17FK JablonecSlovan LiberecCzech Liga1-1
2023-04-15FK JablonecSlovan LiberecCzech Liga1-1
2022-10-22Slovan LiberecFK JablonecCzech Liga2-0
2022-02-26Slovan LiberecFK JablonecCzech Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.6%, draw 29.4%, away 37.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.28 3.25 2.90
1xBet 2.90 3.10 2.47
Bet365 2.80 3.10 2.35
BetVictor 2.88 3.20 2.45
Betano 2.32 3.20 2.95
Betfair 2.50 3.25 2.70
Dafabet 2.37 3.35 3.00
Marathonbet 2.88 3.10 2.45
Pinnacle 3.03 3.10 2.54
Unibet 2.48 3.35 2.70
William Hill 2.88 2.90 2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.88 ▲ +0.43
X 3.10 ▼ -0.25
2 2.45 ▼ -0.25

14 snapshots recorded, from .