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Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 4

Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec

1 – 1 Full time

28′Martin Cedidla
29′Dominik Javorček
45′M. Cedidla
46′J. SuchanD. Holly
58′A. RusekL. Jawo
58′J. ChramostaS. Alioum
64′V. SmrzV. Pilar
65′D. JavorcekP. Mirvald
70′A. Cermak
77′J. MatousekV. Zeman
84′Peter Kareem
84′David Lischka
87′A. CermakS. Cerny
87′L. AlmasiL. Krobot
90′Petr Mirvald
90′FK JablonecD. Soucek
90′N. OkekeR. Horak

Dolicek Stadium, PragueReferee: Vit Zaoral, Czechia

Bohemians 1905 37%
Draw 29%
FK Jablonec 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 2
54 Possession % 46
3 Corners 3
14 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 4
2 Saves 2
314 Accurate passes 239

Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBohemians 1905DrawFK Jablonec
Model39.9%31.5%28.7%
Market36.4%28.0%35.6%
Final37.3%28.9%33.8%
Edge+3.5%+3.5%-6.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Bohemians 1905

  • The market prices Bohemians 1905 below the model: +3.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bohemians 1905 ↓ / FK Jablonec → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 10% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

Bohemians 1905 and FK Jablonec expected goals

Bohemians 1905 1.22
FK Jablonec 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.21

Bohemians 1905 and FK Jablonec attack and defence ratings

Bohemians 1905

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.89 -11%

FK Jablonec

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec: result vs prediction

Bohemians 1905 1 – 1 FK Jablonec

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bohemians 1905 37.3% 2.68 +3.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.0% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score No 54.4% 1.84 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.1% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.1% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bohemians 190537.3%
Draw28.9%
FK Jablonec33.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.0%
Under 2.562.0%
Both teams to scoreYes45.6%
No54.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.2%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)62.7%
Handicap -1Bohemians 1905 win18.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss60.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-012.3%
1-012.0%

Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec stats

Bohemians 1905 and FK Jablonec recent form

newest first
Bohemians 1905 DWDLWL
FK Jablonec LWLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bohemians 1905 and FK Jablonec going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bohemians 1905 record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FK Jablonec record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Bohemians 1905 wins 2Draws 3FK Jablonec wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-27Bohemians 1905FK JablonecFriendlies Clubs1-1
2025-12-07FK JablonecBohemians 1905Czech Liga1-0
2025-08-10Bohemians 1905FK JablonecCzech Liga0-1
2025-02-02FK JablonecBohemians 1905Czech Liga0-1
2024-08-24Bohemians 1905FK JablonecCzech Liga1-2
2024-05-12Bohemians 1905FK JablonecCzech Liga1-1
2024-03-30Bohemians 1905FK JablonecCzech Liga2-0
2023-10-22FK JablonecBohemians 1905Czech Liga0-1
2023-04-30Bohemians 1905FK JablonecCzech Liga4-1
2022-07-31FK JablonecBohemians 1905Czech Liga0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.4%, draw 28.0%, away 35.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.54 3.30 2.54
1xBet 2.52 3.36 2.60
Bet365 2.50 3.25 2.55
BetVictor 2.60 3.30 2.63
Betano 2.52 3.30 2.62
Betfair 2.55 3.40 2.55
Dafabet 2.60 3.35 2.70
Marathonbet 2.52 3.36 2.60
Pinnacle 2.58 3.41 2.73
SBO 2.44 3.05 2.54
Superbet 2.55 3.25 2.67
Unibet 2.55 3.25 2.60
William Hill 2.50 3.20 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.54 ▲ +0.01
X 3.30 —
2 2.60 —

21 snapshots recorded, from .