Garuda Lions
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Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Teplice vs FK Jablonec

2 – 0 Full time

AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, TepliceReferee: Ondrej Pechanec, Czechia

Teplice 39%
Draw 27%
FK Jablonec 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Teplice vs FK Jablonec overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Teplice vs FK Jablonec

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTepliceDrawFK Jablonec
Model40.3%25.0%34.7%
Market39.0%27.3%33.7%
Final39.3%26.7%34.0%
Edge+1.3%-2.3%+1.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Teplice ↓ / FK Jablonec → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 12% 8% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Teplice and FK Jablonec expected goals

Teplice 1.52
FK Jablonec 1.55

Total expected goals: 3.07

Teplice and FK Jablonec attack and defence ratings

Teplice

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 1.26 +26%

FK Jablonec

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Teplice vs FK Jablonec: result vs prediction

Teplice 2 – 0 FK Jablonec

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Teplice vs FK Jablonec markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Teplice 39.3% 2.54 +1.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.1% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.2% 1.51 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.3% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.8% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Teplice39.3%
Draw26.7%
FK Jablonec34.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.1%
Under 2.535.9%
Both teams to scoreYes66.2%
No33.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.0%
12 (either side)73.3%
X2 (draw or away)60.7%
Handicap -1Teplice win17.9%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss63.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
2-18.6%
1-27.9%

Teplice vs FK Jablonec stats

Teplice and FK Jablonec recent form

newest first
Teplice LLDWWW
FK Jablonec WLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Teplice and FK Jablonec going into this match

league record before kick-off

Teplice record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FK Jablonec record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Teplice vs FK Jablonec head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Teplice wins 0Draws 2FK Jablonec wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-31FK JablonecTepliceCzech Liga1-0
2025-08-23TepliceFK JablonecCzech Liga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Teplice vs FK Jablonec odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.0%, draw 27.3%, away 33.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.32 3.35 2.75
1xBet 2.38 3.42 2.74
BetVictor 2.38 3.30 2.70
Betano 2.35 3.40 2.77
Betfair 2.30 3.50 2.80
Dafabet 2.47 3.40 2.85
Marathonbet 2.38 3.42 2.74
Pinnacle 2.41 3.45 2.81
SBO 2.28 3.02 2.63
Unibet 2.55 3.30 2.65
William Hill 2.38 3.25 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.38 ▼ -0.03
X 3.40 ▼ -0.01
2 2.75 ▼ -0.02

10 snapshots recorded, from .