Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha

0 – 3 Full time

11′W. Nowak
38′Josimar Alcócer
40′Michal Sadílek
46′W. NowakD. Moses
58′Adam Karabec
59′D. Sturm
62′T. VlcekS. Isife
62′A. OuandaT. Chory
65′M. SuchomelJ. Zeleny
65′J. AlcocerE. Singhateh
70′S. EnemeA. Irving
71′D. SturmI. Schranz
76′A. KarabecM. Jurasek
80′S. ChaloupekA. N'Guessan
90′Tomáš Chorý
90′E. Ayaosi

epet ARENA, PragueReferee: Jan Machalek, Czechia

Sparta Praha 36%
Draw 27%
Slavia Praha 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
71 Possession % 29
13 Corners 2
13 Fouls 24
0 Offsides 1
2 Saves 5
403 Accurate passes 124

Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySparta PrahaDrawSlavia Praha
Model33.3%24.5%42.2%
Market37.1%27.8%35.0%
Final36.2%27.0%36.8%
Edge-3.8%-3.3%+7.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Slavia Praha

  • The market prices Slavia Praha below the model: +7.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sparta Praha ↓ / Slavia Praha → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 11% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Sparta Praha and Slavia Praha expected goals

Sparta Praha 1.60
Slavia Praha 1.79

Total expected goals: 3.39

Sparta Praha and Slavia Praha attack and defence ratings

Sparta Praha

Attack 1.32 +32%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Slavia Praha

Attack 1.61 +61%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha: result vs prediction

Sparta Praha 0 – 3 Slavia Praha

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Slavia Praha 36.8% 2.71 +7.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.8% 1.52 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.4% 1.48 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.0% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.1% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sparta Praha36.2%
Draw27.0%
Slavia Praha36.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.8%
Under 2.534.2%
Both teams to scoreYes67.4%
No32.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.2%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)63.8%
Handicap -1Slavia Praha win22.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss58.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
1-28.7%
2-17.7%

Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha stats

Sparta Praha and Slavia Praha recent form

newest first
Sparta Praha WWLLWW
Slavia Praha DDWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sparta Praha and Slavia Praha going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sparta Praha record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Slavia Praha record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Sparta Praha wins 1Draws 1Slavia Praha wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-08Slavia PrahaSparta PrahaCzech Liga3-1
2025-10-05Sparta PrahaSlavia PrahaCzech Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.1%, draw 27.8%, away 35.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.52 3.10 2.68
1xBet 2.49 3.34 2.65
BetVictor 2.40 3.40 2.60
Betano 2.55 3.15 2.70
Betfair 2.55 3.50 2.50
Dafabet 2.65 3.35 2.70
Marathonbet 2.49 3.34 2.65
Pinnacle 2.50 3.42 2.70
SBO 2.33 3.06 2.53
Unibet 2.70 3.35 2.48
William Hill 2.50 3.20 2.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.50 ▼ -0.11
X 3.34 —
2 2.65 ▲ +0.09

10 snapshots recorded, from .