Zbrojovka Brno
vs
Zlin
3 – 2 Full time
Zbrojovka Brno vs Zlin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zbrojovka Brno vs Zlin
| Probability | Zbrojovka Brno | Draw | Zlin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.0% | 18.8% | 8.2% |
| Market | 56.8% | 24.9% | 18.4% |
| Final | 60.8% | 23.3% | 15.8% |
| Edge | +16.2% | -6.0% | -10.2% |
Why Zbrojovka Brno
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 0.63.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Zbrojovka Brno below the model: +16.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zbrojovka Brno and Zlin expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.84
Zbrojovka Brno and Zlin attack and defence ratings
Zbrojovka Brno
Zlin
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zbrojovka Brno vs Zlin: result vs prediction
Zbrojovka Brno 3 – 2 Zlin
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zbrojovka Brno vs Zlin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zbrojovka Brno | 60.8% | 1.64 | +16.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Zbrojovka Brno win | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zbrojovka Brno | 60.8% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Zlin | 15.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.3% |
| No | 57.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zbrojovka Brno win | 49.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 27.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 12.1% | |
| 3-0 | 10.6% |
Zbrojovka Brno vs Zlin stats
Zbrojovka Brno and Zlin recent form
| Zbrojovka Brno |
WLDWWD |
| Zlin |
LLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zbrojovka Brno and Zlin going into this match
Zbrojovka Brno record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Zlin record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zbrojovka Brno vs Zlin head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-11 | Zlin | Zbrojovka Brno | FNL | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-01 | Zbrojovka Brno | Zlin | FNL | 1-2 |
| 2023-05-28 | Zbrojovka Brno | Zlin | Czech Liga | 0-0 |
| 2023-03-04 | Zbrojovka Brno | Zlin | Czech Liga | 1-1 |
| 2022-09-10 | Zlin | Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga | 2-3 |
| 2022-01-15 | Zbrojovka Brno | Zlin | Friendlies Clubs | 3-3 |
| 2021-07-17 | Zlin | Zbrojovka Brno | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2021-02-13 | Zbrojovka Brno | Zlin | Czech Liga | 0-0 |
| 2020-09-13 | Zlin | Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga | 3-1 |
| 2020-08-15 | Zlin | Zbrojovka Brno | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zbrojovka Brno vs Zlin odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.8%, draw 24.9%, away 18.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.63 | 3.70 | 4.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.61 | 3.85 | 5.19 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.70 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.70 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.70 | 4.90 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.66 | 3.90 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 3.85 | 5.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 3.91 | 5.33 |
| SBO | 1.56 | 3.44 | 4.69 |
| Superbet | 1.65 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| Unibet | 1.74 | 3.65 | 4.50 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .