Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno

0 – 2 Full time

AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, TepliceReferee: Kubecka Matej, Czechia

Teplice 38%
Draw 27%
Zbrojovka Brno 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTepliceDrawZbrojovka Brno
Model29.7%25.5%44.9%
Market41.0%27.3%31.7%
Final38.2%26.9%35.0%
Edge-11.3%-1.9%+13.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Teplice

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Teplice ↓ / Zbrojovka Brno → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 12% 9% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Teplice and Zbrojovka Brno expected goals

Teplice 1.39
Zbrojovka Brno 1.74

Total expected goals: 3.13

Teplice and Zbrojovka Brno attack and defence ratings

Teplice

Attack 1.37 +37%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Zbrojovka Brno

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno: result vs prediction

Teplice 0 – 2 Zbrojovka Brno

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Teplice 38.2% 2.62 -11.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.5% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.9% 1.59 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.3% 1.42 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Teplice38.2%
Draw26.9%
Zbrojovka Brno35.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.5%
Under 2.539.5%
Both teams to scoreYes62.9%
No37.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.0%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)61.8%
Handicap -1Teplice win13.7%
Push (exactly one goal)16.0%
Loss70.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
1-29.2%
2-17.3%

Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno stats

Teplice and Zbrojovka Brno recent form

newest first
Teplice LDWWWW
Zbrojovka Brno LDWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Teplice and Zbrojovka Brno going into this match

league record before kick-off

Teplice record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zbrojovka Brno record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.8%, draw 27.6%, away 31.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.16 3.25 3.10
1xBet 2.25 3.45 2.95
888Sport 2.25 3.25 2.90
Bet365 2.25 3.30 2.88
BetVictor 2.25 3.40 2.80
Betano 2.25 3.30 3.00
Betfair 2.30 3.50 2.80
Dafabet 2.29 3.45 3.10
Marathonbet 2.23 3.45 2.93
Pinnacle 2.30 3.53 3.04
SBO 2.14 3.17 2.87
Superbet 2.25 3.35 3.05
Unibet 2.33 3.25 2.75
William Hill 2.25 3.30 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 ▲ +0.04
X 3.38 —
2 2.92 ▼ -0.07

3 snapshots recorded, from .