Ararat-Armenia
vs
Sparta Praha
1 – 4 Full time
| 20′ | T. Guddal | ||
| 22′ | T. Guddal | ||
| 53′ | J. Mercado | ||
| 55′ | B. R. Wilson Valdez | ||
| 57′ | A. Serobyan | ||
| 58′ | BennyFranca Carlos | ||
| 61′ | H. SochurekP. Vydra | ||
| 61′ | J. BrunesM. Vojta | ||
| 69′ | J. MercadoM. Jurasek | ||
| 69′ | A. KarabecA. Irving | ||
| 71′ | P. Vydra | ||
| 72′ | H. OliveiraJ. A. Balanta | ||
| 72′ | A. SerobyanZ. Shaghoyan | ||
| 79′ | M. RynesJ. Zeleny | ||
| 80′ | Z. BanjaquiA. Ambartsumyan | ||
| 80′ | Sandro LimaA. Eloyan | ||
| 88′ | E. Grigoryan | ||
| 90′ | K. Muradyan |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 23 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 2 | Corners | 13 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 296 | Accurate passes | 422 |
Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha
| Probability | Ararat-Armenia | Draw | Sparta Praha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.2% | 25.8% | 20.0% |
| Market | 19.2% | 23.2% | 57.6% |
| Final | 28.0% | 23.8% | 48.2% |
| Edge | +35.0% | +2.6% | -37.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ararat-Armenia and Sparta Praha expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.73
Ararat-Armenia and Sparta Praha attack and defence ratings
Ararat-Armenia
Sparta Praha
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha: result vs prediction
Ararat-Armenia 1 – 4 Sparta Praha
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sparta Praha | 48.2% | 2.07 | -37.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ararat-Armenia | 28.0% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Sparta Praha | 48.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% |
| No | 47.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sparta Praha win | 7.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12.6% | |
| Loss | 80.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 1-0 | 10.3% | |
| 2-0 | 9.9% |
Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha stats
Ararat-Armenia and Sparta Praha recent form
| Ararat-Armenia |
WWLWDD |
| Sparta Praha |
WLLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-14 | Ararat-Armenia | Sparta Praha | UEFA Europa Conference League | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-07 | Sparta Praha | Ararat-Armenia | UEFA Europa Conference League | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.0%, draw 23.2%, away 57.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 5.30 | 4.00 | 1.58 |
| 1xBet | 5.02 | 4.16 | 1.69 |
| 888Sport | 4.80 | 3.90 | 1.62 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 4.20 | 1.65 |
| BetVictor | 4.80 | 4.00 | 1.65 |
| Betano | 5.00 | 4.10 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.65 |
| Dafabet | 5.00 | 4.10 | 1.64 |
| Marathonbet | 4.95 | 4.10 | 1.67 |
| Pinnacle | 5.32 | 4.11 | 1.65 |
| SBO | 4.25 | 3.58 | 1.58 |
| Unibet | 5.20 | 4.10 | 1.66 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .