Sturm Graz
vs
Rennes
0 – 0 Full time
| 46′ | A. VallciA. Malic | ||
| 51′ | Luís Balbo | ||
| 62′ | G. MamageishviliF. Rozga | ||
| 62′ | B. BeganovicO. Diakite | ||
| 73′ | S. SzymanskiV. Rongier | ||
| 73′ | M. TamariA. Nordin | ||
| 80′ | B. ReynoldsA. Ait Boudlal | ||
| 80′ | L. BlasE. Mayenda | ||
| 81′ | L. BalboS. Seidl | ||
| 81′ | V. MatoshiJ. Gorenc Stankovic | ||
| 86′ | E. LepaulB. Dia | ||
| 90′ | Jon Gorenc Stanković |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 23 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 38 | Possession % | 62 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 5 | Saves | 4 |
| 189 | Accurate passes | 385 |
Sturm Graz vs Rennes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sturm Graz vs Rennes
| Probability | Sturm Graz | Draw | Rennes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.1% | 19.7% | 17.2% |
| Market | 23.8% | 23.8% | 52.4% |
| Final | 33.6% | 22.8% | 43.6% |
| Edge | +39.3% | -4.1% | -35.1% |
Why Rennes
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sturm Graz and Rennes expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.71
Sturm Graz and Rennes attack and defence ratings
Sturm Graz
Rennes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sturm Graz vs Rennes: result vs prediction
Sturm Graz 0 – 0 Rennes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sturm Graz vs Rennes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rennes | 43.6% | 2.30 | -35.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sturm Graz | 33.6% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| Rennes | 43.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.1% |
| No | 33.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rennes win | 7.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 10.2% | |
| Loss | 82.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.2% |
| 1-1 | 8.3% | |
| 3-1 | 7.6% |
Sturm Graz vs Rennes stats
Sturm Graz and Rennes recent form
| Sturm Graz |
WWLDWL |
| Rennes |
WWWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sturm Graz vs Rennes head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Sturm Graz vs Rennes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 24.3%, draw 24.3%, away 51.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.45 | 3.70 | 1.97 |
| 1xBet | 4.11 | 4.11 | 1.84 |
| 888Sport | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 3.90 | 4.00 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 4.15 | 4.05 | 1.85 |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.80 |
| Dafabet | 3.45 | 3.65 | 2.06 |
| Marathonbet | 4.00 | 4.05 | 1.82 |
| Pinnacle | 4.19 | 4.06 | 1.81 |
| SBO | 3.12 | 3.26 | 1.92 |
| Unibet | 3.35 | 3.70 | 2.04 |
| William Hill | 3.80 | 3.75 | 1.83 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .