Bayer Leverkusen
vs
Celje
2 – 0 Full time
| 15′ | S. Seslar | ||
| 60′ | LucasJ. Quansah | ||
| 61′ | M. TillmanE. Fernandez | ||
| 61′ | M. TerrierA. Moreira | ||
| 61′ | A. KucysB. Kramer | ||
| 61′ | Y. DukulyM. Ivansek | ||
| 69′ | B. VerbicV. Tusha | ||
| 71′ | P. SchickC. Kofane | ||
| 74′ | F. Medina | ||
| 80′ | M. DiabyE. Ben Seghir | ||
| 80′ | L. TicicP. Daniel |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 7 |
| 546 | Accurate passes | 441 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje
| Probability | Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Celje |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.4% | 17.9% | 14.7% |
| Market | 88.9% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Final | 83.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% |
| Edge | -21.5% | +10.5% | +11.0% |
Why Bayer Leverkusen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.67 vs 1.23.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bayer Leverkusen and Celje expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.90
Bayer Leverkusen and Celje attack and defence ratings
Bayer Leverkusen
Celje
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje: result vs prediction
Bayer Leverkusen 2 – 0 Celje
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 83.5% | 1.20 | -21.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Bayer Leverkusen win | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 83.5% |
| Draw | 10.0% | |
| Celje | 6.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.5% |
| No | 33.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 90.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 16.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bayer Leverkusen win | 47.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 32.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.9% |
| 3-1 | 7.9% | |
| 1-1 | 7.3% |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje stats
Bayer Leverkusen and Celje recent form
| Bayer Leverkusen |
DWLWDL |
| Celje |
LLWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 88.4%, draw 8.0%, away 3.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.18 | 6.80 | 12.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.08 | 14.70 | 30.00 |
| 888Sport | 1.20 | 6.50 | 12.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.06 | 12.00 | 26.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.05 | 13.00 | 26.00 |
| Betano | 1.08 | 13.00 | 45.00 |
| Betfair | 1.06 | 14.00 | 26.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.20 | 7.60 | 12.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.07 | 13.50 | 28.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.08 | 14.26 | 28.87 |
| SBO | 1.12 | 6.86 | 10.12 |
| Unibet | 1.19 | 7.50 | 13.00 |
| William Hill | 1.08 | 12.00 | 26.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .