Mura
vs
Celje
0 – 0 Full time
| 15′ | N. Kouter | ||
| 16′ | M. Zabukovnik | ||
| 18′ | I. Jelic | ||
| 46′ | B. DimitrovN. Kasalo | ||
| 46′ | M. IvansekL. Ticic | ||
| 53′ | L. Bobicanec | ||
| 65′ | A. KucysA. Kotnik | ||
| 66′ | A. Korosec | ||
| 71′ | L. BobicanecF. Sana | ||
| 76′ | M. KvesicR. Pozeg | ||
| 76′ | Y. DukulyL. Koutris | ||
| 77′ | K. KurtovicR. Caks | ||
| 82′ | D. OroianJ. Kovacic | ||
| 82′ | N. KouterZ. Petrovic | ||
| 89′ | S. SeslarT. Letonja | ||
| 90′ | Celje |
Mura vs Celje overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mura vs Celje
| Probability | Mura | Draw | Celje |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.6% | 27.0% | 43.4% |
| Market | 20.6% | 25.1% | 54.3% |
| Final | 22.9% | 25.5% | 51.6% |
| Edge | +8.9% | +2.0% | -10.9% |
Why Celje
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 1.27.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mura and Celje expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.85
Mura and Celje attack and defence ratings
Mura
Celje
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mura vs Celje: result vs prediction
Mura 0 – 0 Celje
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mura vs Celje markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celje | 51.6% | 1.94 | -10.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.7% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mura | 22.9% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Celje | 51.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% |
| No | 41.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Celje win | 22.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 56.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 0-1 | 8.0% |
Mura vs Celje stats
Mura and Celje recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mura and Celje going into this match
Mura record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
Celje record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mura vs Celje head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Celje | Mura | 1. SNL | 2-2 |
| 2026-04-19 | Mura | Celje | 1. SNL | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-14 | Celje | Mura | 1. SNL | 5-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Mura | Celje | 1. SNL | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-10 | Celje | Mura | 1. SNL | 3-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Celje | Mura | 1. SNL | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-16 | Mura | Celje | 1. SNL | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-19 | Celje | Mura | 1. SNL | 4-3 |
| 2024-08-03 | Mura | Celje | 1. SNL | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-06 | Mura | Celje | 1. SNL | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mura vs Celje odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.6%, draw 25.1%, away 54.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.64 | 3.62 | 1.63 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 4.50 | 3.70 | 1.67 |
| Betano | 4.25 | 3.55 | 1.78 |
| Betfair | 4.40 | 3.60 | 1.67 |
| Marathonbet | 4.55 | 3.62 | 1.61 |
| Pinnacle | 4.71 | 3.92 | 1.70 |
| SBO | 3.83 | 3.25 | 1.73 |
| William Hill | 4.40 | 3.50 | 1.67 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .