Celje
vs
Aluminij
1 – 0 Full time
| 10′ | M. Avdyli | ||
| 19′ | P. Petrisko | ||
| 55′ | A. Bekavac | ||
| 62′ | L. TicicM. Zabukovnik | ||
| 63′ | M. IvansekZ. Zuzek | ||
| 63′ | B. SussoR. Ramsak | ||
| 63′ | A. BekavacD. Zajsek | ||
| 71′ | M. KvesicV. Tusha | ||
| 71′ | A. KucysB. Kramer | ||
| 77′ | P. PetriskoM. Mladenovic | ||
| 80′ | M. Avdyli | ||
| 81′ | I. CalusicP. Daniel | ||
| 83′ | A. Tutyskinas | ||
| 86′ | B. OsujiA. Bloudek | ||
| 87′ | M. VrbanecI. Svrznjak | ||
| 90′ | R. Schaubach |
Celje vs Aluminij overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Celje vs Aluminij
| Probability | Celje | Draw | Aluminij |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.7% | 30.2% | 43.1% |
| Market | 59.7% | 21.9% | 18.3% |
| Final | 51.5% | 24.0% | 24.5% |
| Edge | -8.2% | +2.1% | +6.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Celje and Aluminij expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.33
Celje and Aluminij attack and defence ratings
Celje
Aluminij
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Celje vs Aluminij: result vs prediction
Celje 1 – 0 Aluminij
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Celje vs Aluminij markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celje | 51.5% | 1.94 | -8.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celje | 51.5% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Aluminij | 24.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.9% |
| No | 52.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Celje win | 11.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 71.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-1 | 11.6% | |
| 0-0 | 10.9% |
Celje vs Aluminij stats
Celje and Aluminij recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Celje and Aluminij going into this match
Celje record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aluminij record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
Celje vs Aluminij head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Aluminij | Celje | 1. SNL | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Celje | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 5-0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Aluminij | Celje | 1. SNL | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Celje | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Aluminij | Celje | 1. SNL | 2-3 |
| 2024-03-30 | Celje | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 2-2 |
| 2024-02-04 | Celje | Aluminij | Friendlies Clubs | 4-1 |
| 2023-12-09 | Aluminij | Celje | 1. SNL | 1-3 |
| 2023-09-27 | Celje | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 1-3 |
| 2023-07-23 | Aluminij | Celje | 1. SNL | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Celje vs Aluminij odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.7%, draw 21.9%, away 18.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.51 | 4.15 | 4.93 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.52 | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.56 | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.50 | 4.15 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 4.44 | 4.87 |
| SBO | 1.47 | 3.94 | 4.76 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .