Brinje-Grosuplje
vs
Maribor
1 – 2 Full time
| 35′ | I. Tshipamba | ||
| 37′ | Z. Jevsenak | ||
| 44′ | H. Vuckic | ||
| 46′ | N. OstercL. Zahovic | ||
| 46′ | V. KodermanC. Bumbic | ||
| 47′ | T. Cipot | ||
| 63′ | K. Benkic | ||
| 65′ | M. Roric | ||
| 68′ | J. Zrnec | ||
| 70′ | K. BenkicJ. Kovac | ||
| 70′ | H. VuckicS. Matjaz | ||
| 70′ | A. KurtovicN. Koren | ||
| 71′ | Z. JevsenakB. Feta | ||
| 74′ | C. GoncalvesE. Taylor | ||
| 77′ | Z. MeskoG. Kurez | ||
| 82′ | Z. Karnicnik | ||
| 82′ | M. RoricV. Vlahovic | ||
| 85′ | J. MlakarJ. Seri | ||
| 90′ | B. Feta |
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor
| Probability | Brinje-Grosuplje | Draw | Maribor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.9% | 23.9% | 54.1% |
| Market | 19.3% | 24.3% | 56.4% |
| Final | 20.0% | 24.2% | 55.8% |
| Edge | +0.7% | -0.1% | -0.6% |
Why Maribor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Brinje-Grosuplje and Maribor expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
Brinje-Grosuplje and Maribor attack and defence ratings
Brinje-Grosuplje
Maribor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor: result vs prediction
Brinje-Grosuplje 1 – 2 Maribor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maribor | 55.8% | 1.79 | -0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.0% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 20.0% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Maribor | 55.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% |
| No | 39.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Maribor win | 32.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 46.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.2% |
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor stats
Brinje-Grosuplje and Maribor recent form
| Brinje-Grosuplje |
WLLWLL |
| Maribor |
DWDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Brinje-Grosuplje and Maribor going into this match
Brinje-Grosuplje record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Maribor record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Maribor | Brinje-Grosuplje | 1. SNL | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Brinje-Grosuplje | Maribor | Cup | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.3%, draw 24.3%, away 56.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.70 | 3.78 | 1.59 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.60 | 1.62 |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 3.75 | 1.62 |
| Betano | 4.70 | 3.70 | 1.67 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 3.90 | 1.65 |
| Marathonbet | 4.60 | 3.78 | 1.57 |
| Pinnacle | 5.01 | 3.91 | 1.67 |
| SBO | 4.52 | 3.52 | 1.56 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 3.50 | 1.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .