Brinje-Grosuplje
vs
Maribor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Maribor
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor
| Probability | Brinje-Grosuplje | Draw | Maribor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.9% | 23.9% | 54.2% |
| Market | 21.2% | 25.3% | 53.5% |
| Final | 21.4% | 24.9% | 53.7% |
| Edge | +0.7% | -1.4% | +0.7% |
Why Maribor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor match preview
Brinje-Grosuplje faces Maribor in their upcoming match, with model probabilities indicating a 22% chance of a home victory, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 54% chance of an away win for Maribor. The expected goals suggest Brinje-Grosuplje will score 1.19, while Maribor is expected to net 1.96. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with a 10% probability.
Recent form shows Brinje-Grosuplje struggling with two wins in their last six matches, while Maribor has been more consistent, with four wins and two draws in their last six games. Both teams have a 61% probability of scoring, and there is also a 61% chance that the match will feature over 2.5 goals. In the last head-to-head encounter, Maribor secured a victory against Brinje-Grosuplje.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Brinje-Grosuplje and Maribor expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
Brinje-Grosuplje and Maribor attack and defence ratings
Brinje-Grosuplje
Maribor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maribor | 53.7% | 1.86 | +0.7% | 1.78 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 21.4% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Maribor | 53.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% |
| No | 39.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Maribor win | 32.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 45.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.2% |
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor stats
Brinje-Grosuplje and Maribor recent form
| Brinje-Grosuplje |
WLLWLL |
| Maribor |
DWDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Brinje-Grosuplje and Maribor season so far
Brinje-Grosuplje record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Maribor record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Maribor | Brinje-Grosuplje | 1. SNL | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.2%, draw 25.3%, away 53.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.30 | 3.64 | 1.67 |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 3.50 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 4.40 | 3.60 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 4.30 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.67 |
| Dafabet | 4.30 | 3.70 | 1.72 |
| Marathonbet | 4.20 | 3.64 | 1.65 |
| Pinnacle | 4.31 | 3.60 | 1.78 |
| SBO | 4.02 | 3.34 | 1.61 |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.73 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .