1. SNL Β· Β·Matchday 11

Nafta vs Bravo

Garuda Lions Prediction: Nafta

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability

Referee: D. Sabanagic

Nafta 37%
Draw 27%
Bravo 36%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Nafta wins
37%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
91%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
54%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
8% of simulated outcomes

Nafta vs Bravo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Nafta vs Bravo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNaftaDrawBravo
Model35.4%29.0%35.6%
Market37.6%26.1%36.3%
Final37.1%26.8%36.1%
Edge-2.2%+2.8%-0.6%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 2.52, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Nafta vs Bravo match preview

Nafta faces Bravo in a closely contested match, with model probabilities showing Nafta at 37%, a draw at 27%, and Bravo at 36%. The expected goals are nearly identical, with Nafta at 1.29 and Bravo at 1.30, indicating a balanced matchup. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Nafta, occurring with an 8% probability.

Recent form highlights Nafta's struggles, with a record of L-W-W-L-L-L, while Bravo shows more promise with W-W-D-W-L-D. In their last head-to-head encounter, Nafta secured a victory, marking 1 win for Nafta and 0 for Bravo. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 48%, and both teams scoring is at 54%, suggesting a competitive game ahead.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Nafta ↓ / Bravo β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Nafta and Bravo expected goals

Nafta 1.29
Bravo 1.30

Total expected goals: 2.59

Nafta and Bravo attack and defence ratings

Nafta

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Bravo

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

1. SNL

Before and after this match

Nafta vs Bravo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Nafta 37.1% 2.70 -2.2% 2.52
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.0% 1.92 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 54.0% 1.85 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.2% 1.37 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 64.6% 1.55 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Nafta37.1%
Draw26.8%
Bravo36.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.0%
Under 2.552.0%
Both teams to scoreYes54.0%
No46.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.9%
12 (either side)73.2%
X2 (draw or away)62.9%
Handicap -1Nafta win16.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.2%
Loss64.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
0-08.7%
0-18.5%

Nafta vs Bravo stats

Nafta and Bravo recent form

newest first
Nafta LWWLLL
Bravo WWDWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Nafta and Bravo season so far

league record

Nafta record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bravo record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Nafta vs Bravo head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Nafta wins 0Draws 0Bravo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-26BravoNafta1. SNL0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Nafta vs Bravo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.6%, draw 26.1%, away 36.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.41 3.44 2.42
Bet365 2.40 3.40 2.50
BetVictor 2.45 3.50 2.50
Betano 2.52 3.50 2.52
Betfair 2.40 3.60 2.45
Dafabet 2.46 3.50 2.60
Marathonbet 2.41 3.44 2.42
Pinnacle 2.49 3.58 2.60
SBO 2.30 3.13 2.41
William Hill 2.38 3.25 2.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.41 β–Ό -0.03
X 3.47 β–² +0.04
2 2.50 β€”

10 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Nafta Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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