Olimpija Ljubljana
vs
Mura
3 – 3 Full time
| 31′ | I. Tuci | ||
| 33′ | A. Zeljkovic | ||
| 52′ | I. Tuci | ||
| 54′ | N. Kasalo | ||
| 61′ | B. LourencoD. Mitrovski | ||
| 64′ | A. Zalaznik | ||
| 65′ | A. Marin | ||
| 65′ | K. KurtovicB. Dimitrov | ||
| 69′ | D. Oroian | ||
| 73′ | Diga | ||
| 74′ | B. Dimitrov | ||
| 75′ | S. ButicL. Bobicanec | ||
| 75′ | N. KasaloF. Jevsenak | ||
| 78′ | M. Matic | ||
| 85′ | A. MarinL. Perea | ||
| 85′ | D. KojicM. Brest | ||
| 86′ | Z. Petrovic | ||
| 86′ | N. KouterA. Korosec | ||
| 86′ | A. ZalaznikI. Jelic | ||
| 90′ | A. DoffoA. Tamm |
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura
| Probability | Olimpija Ljubljana | Draw | Mura |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.7% | 24.7% | 13.6% |
| Market | 56.4% | 25.2% | 18.4% |
| Final | 57.8% | 25.1% | 17.2% |
| Edge | +1.3% | -0.1% | -1.2% |
Why Olimpija Ljubljana
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Olimpija Ljubljana and Mura expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Olimpija Ljubljana and Mura attack and defence ratings
Olimpija Ljubljana
Mura
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura: result vs prediction
Olimpija Ljubljana 3 – 3 Mura
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 57.8% | 1.73 | +1.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 57.8% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Mura | 17.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.0% |
| No | 56.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Olimpija Ljubljana win | 36.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 38.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.4% |
| 2-0 | 13.0% | |
| 1-1 | 11.6% |
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura stats
Olimpija Ljubljana and Mura recent form
| Olimpija Ljubljana |
LWWDWD |
| Mura |
DLDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Olimpija Ljubljana and Mura going into this match
Olimpija Ljubljana record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mura record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Mura | Olimpija Ljubljana | 1. SNL | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Mura | Olimpija Ljubljana | 1. SNL | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Olimpija Ljubljana | Mura | 1. SNL | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Mura | Olimpija Ljubljana | 1. SNL | 0-2 |
| 2025-07-19 | Olimpija Ljubljana | Mura | 1. SNL | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Mura | Olimpija Ljubljana | 1. SNL | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-12 | Olimpija Ljubljana | Mura | 1. SNL | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-24 | Mura | Olimpija Ljubljana | 1. SNL | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-01 | Olimpija Ljubljana | Mura | 1. SNL | 4-0 |
| 2024-05-05 | Olimpija Ljubljana | Mura | 1. SNL | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.4%, draw 25.2%, away 18.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 3.68 | 4.96 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.65 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 3.68 | 4.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64 | 3.84 | 5.43 |
| SBO | 1.58 | 3.41 | 4.50 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.40 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .