Mura vs Nafta overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mura vs Nafta
| Probability | Mura | Draw | Nafta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.6% | 25.4% | 49.0% |
| Market | 43.3% | 27.2% | 29.5% |
| Final | 38.9% | 26.7% | 34.4% |
| Edge | -17.7% | -1.8% | +19.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mura and Nafta expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.02
Mura and Nafta attack and defence ratings
Mura
Nafta
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mura vs Nafta: result vs prediction
Mura 0 – 0 Nafta
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mura vs Nafta markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mura | 38.9% | 2.57 | -17.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mura | 38.9% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Nafta | 34.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.3% |
| No | 39.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mura win | 11.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.6% | |
| Loss | 74.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-2 | 7.7% |
Mura vs Nafta stats
Mura and Nafta recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mura and Nafta going into this match
Mura record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Nafta record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mura vs Nafta head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Nafta | Mura | 1. SNL | 5-2 |
| 2025-12-03 | Mura | Nafta | Cup | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-05 | Nafta | Mura | 1. SNL | 4-2 |
| 2025-02-02 | Mura | Nafta | 1. SNL | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Nafta | Mura | 1. SNL | 0-0 |
| 2024-07-20 | Mura | Nafta | 1. SNL | 1-0 |
| 2022-01-15 | Mura | Nafta | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2020-06-24 | Nafta | Mura | Cup | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mura vs Nafta odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.3%, draw 27.1%, away 29.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.09 | 3.34 | 3.05 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.13 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.07 | 3.34 | 2.98 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20 | 3.56 | 3.18 |
| SBO | 2.03 | 3.10 | 2.81 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .