Radomlje
vs
Mura
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mura
1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Mura is the favourite, not a value bet.
Radomlje vs Mura overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Radomlje vs Mura
| Probability | Radomlje | Draw | Mura |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.9% | 24.5% | 29.6% |
| Market | 31.9% | 27.0% | 41.1% |
| Final | 35.4% | 26.4% | 38.3% |
| Edge | +3.5% | -0.6% | -2.9% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.9% per unit staked (our 38.3% × 2.25 − 1).
Radomlje vs Mura match preview
Radomlje faces Mura in a competitive clash, with probabilities suggesting a close match. Radomlje has a 36% chance of winning, while Mura is slightly favored at 37%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2, with a 7% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to the scoring, as indicated by a 66% likelihood for both teams to score and a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, Radomlje has struggled with a record of D-D-L-L-L-D, while Mura has also faced difficulties with D-D-D-L-D-L. Historically, Radomlje has had the upper hand in their last five encounters, winning three times compared to Mura's single victory. The expected goals for Radomlje stand at 1.86, while Mura is projected at 1.47.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Radomlje and Mura expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.32
Radomlje and Mura attack and defence ratings
Radomlje
Mura
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Radomlje vs Mura markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mura | 38.3% | 2.61 | -2.9% | 2.25 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radomlje | 35.4% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Mura | 38.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% |
| No | 34.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mura win | 14.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.6% | |
| Loss | 70.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.2% |
Radomlje vs Mura stats
Radomlje and Mura recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Radomlje and Mura season so far
Radomlje record
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mura record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Radomlje vs Mura head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Mura | Radomlje | 1. SNL | 1-3 |
| 2026-05-22 | Radomlje | Mura | 1. SNL | 3-2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Mura | Radomlje | 1. SNL | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Radomlje | Mura | 1. SNL | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Mura | Radomlje | 1. SNL | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Radomlje | Mura | 1. SNL | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Mura | Radomlje | 1. SNL | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-10 | Radomlje | Mura | 1. SNL | 2-4 |
| 2024-08-24 | Mura | Radomlje | 1. SNL | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-20 | Radomlje | Mura | 1. SNL | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Radomlje vs Mura odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.9%, draw 27.0%, away 41.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.79 | 3.34 | 2.23 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.45 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.73 | 3.34 | 2.21 |
| Pinnacle | 3.01 | 3.47 | 2.24 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .