Brinje-Grosuplje
vs
Bravo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bravo
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.17.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo
| Probability | Brinje-Grosuplje | Draw | Bravo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.4% | 26.4% | 48.2% |
| Market | 33.7% | 26.8% | 39.6% |
| Final | 31.6% | 26.7% | 41.7% |
| Edge | -2.1% | -0.1% | +2.2% |
Why Bravo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.17.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Bravo below our published probability: +2.2 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.41, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +0.6% per unit staked (our 41.7% × 2.41 − 1).
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo match preview
Brinje-Grosuplje faces Bravo in their upcoming match, with the model assigning a 31% probability of a home win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 42% likelihood of an away victory. The expected goals for Brinje-Grosuplje is 1.17, while Bravo has a higher expectation at 1.68. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%.
In terms of recent form, Brinje-Grosuplje has recorded two wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Bravo has a more favorable record with three wins, two draws, and one loss. The model indicates a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% probability that both teams will score in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Brinje-Grosuplje and Bravo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.85
Brinje-Grosuplje and Bravo attack and defence ratings
Brinje-Grosuplje
Bravo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bravo | 41.7% | 2.40 | +2.2% | 2.41 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 31.6% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Bravo | 41.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% |
| No | 42.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bravo win | 26.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 51.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-1 | 8.6% |
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo stats
Brinje-Grosuplje and Bravo recent form
| Brinje-Grosuplje |
LLWLLW |
| Bravo |
DLWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Brinje-Grosuplje and Bravo season so far
Brinje-Grosuplje record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Bravo record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Bravo | Brinje-Grosuplje | 1. SNL | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.7%, draw 26.8%, away 39.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.62 | 3.38 | 2.27 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.37 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.70 | 3.45 | 2.36 |
| Marathonbet | 2.62 | 3.38 | 2.27 |
| Pinnacle | 2.74 | 3.50 | 2.41 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.20 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .