Mura
vs
Brinje-Grosuplje
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mura
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.42.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje
| Probability | Mura | Draw | Brinje-Grosuplje |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.6% | 24.9% | 29.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.6% | 24.9% | 29.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Mura
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.42.
Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje match preview
Mura will host Brinje-Grosuplje in a 1. SNL fixture on November 1, 2026. According to our model, Mura has a 46% probability of winning, while Brinje-Grosuplje stands at 29%, and a draw is estimated at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Mura, with an expected goals tally of 1.80 for Mura and 1.42 for Brinje-Grosuplje.
Recent form indicates Mura has struggled, recording three draws and three losses in their last six matches. In contrast, Brinje-Grosuplje has experienced mixed results, with two wins and four losses in their last six outings. Additionally, there is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% probability that both teams will score in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mura and Brinje-Grosuplje expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.22
Mura and Brinje-Grosuplje attack and defence ratings
Mura
Brinje-Grosuplje
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mura | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mura | 45.6% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Brinje-Grosuplje | 29.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.4% |
| No | 35.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mura win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 54.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 7.3% |
Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje stats
Mura and Brinje-Grosuplje recent form
| Mura |
DDDLDL |
| Brinje-Grosuplje |
LLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mura and Brinje-Grosuplje season so far
Mura record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Brinje-Grosuplje record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Brinje-Grosuplje | Mura | 1. SNL | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.