Aluminij
vs
Radomlje
Garuda Lions Prediction: Aluminij
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.14.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Aluminij vs Radomlje overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aluminij vs Radomlje
| Probability | Aluminij | Draw | Radomlje |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.1% | 24.8% | 22.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 53.1% | 24.8% | 22.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Aluminij
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Aluminij vs Radomlje match preview
Aluminij enters the match against Radomlje with a probability of 53% to win, while Radomlje has a 22% chance of securing victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Aluminij, with a 10% likelihood. Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 58%, and there is also a 58% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, Aluminij has recorded two losses, two draws, and one win in their last five matches, while Radomlje has struggled with three losses and two draws. The expected goals for Aluminij stand at 1.86, compared to Radomlje's 1.14. Historically, in their last five encounters, Aluminij has won three times, while Radomlje has claimed victory twice.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aluminij and Radomlje expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
Aluminij and Radomlje attack and defence ratings
Aluminij
Radomlje
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aluminij vs Radomlje markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aluminij | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aluminij | 53.1% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Radomlje | 22.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% |
| No | 41.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aluminij win | 30.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 46.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.6% |
Aluminij vs Radomlje stats
Aluminij and Radomlje recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aluminij and Radomlje season so far
Aluminij record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 12 matches.
Radomlje record
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aluminij vs Radomlje head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Radomlje | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 1-3 |
| 2026-04-03 | Aluminij | Radomlje | 1. SNL | 1-2 |
| 2026-01-30 | Radomlje | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-26 | Aluminij | Radomlje | 1. SNL | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-18 | Radomlje | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.