1. SNL Β· Β·Matchday 14

Bravo vs Koper

Garuda Lions Prediction: Koper

0 – 1 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.86.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” Koper is the favourite, not a value bet.

Stadion Stozice, LjubljanaReferee: D. Smajc

Bravo 25%
Draw 26%
Koper 48%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Koper wins
48%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
88%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
45%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
13% of simulated outcomes

Bravo vs Koper overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bravo vs Koper

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBravoDrawKoper
Model22.2%30.1%47.8%
Market26.0%25.3%48.7%
Final25.1%26.5%48.5%
Edge-1.0%+1.2%-0.2%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Why Koper

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.86.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.5% per unit staked (our 48.5% Γ— 1.95 βˆ’ 1).

Bravo vs Koper match preview

In the upcoming match between Bravo and Koper, the model assigns a 28% probability of a Bravo victory, while Koper is favored with a 43% chance to win, and a draw stands at 30%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at an 11% probability. Expected goals for Bravo are 1.04, compared to Koper's 1.35, indicating a slight edge for the visitors in offensive potential.

Recent form shows Bravo with a record of D-L-W-W-D-W, while Koper has performed well, posting W-D-W-L-W-W. In their last five encounters, Bravo has secured 1 win, with Koper winning 2 and 2 matches ending in a draw. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bravo ↓ / Koper β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 13% 10% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Bravo and Koper expected goals

Bravo 0.86
Koper 1.38

Total expected goals: 2.25

Bravo and Koper attack and defence ratings

Bravo

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Koper

Attack 1.32 +32%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

1. SNL

Before and after this match

Bravo vs Koper markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Koper 48.5% 2.06 -0.2% 1.95
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.1% 1.64 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 55.4% 1.80 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 74.9% 1.33 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 52.2% 1.91 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bravo25.1%
Draw26.5%
Koper48.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.9%
Under 2.561.1%
Both teams to scoreYes44.6%
No55.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)51.5%
12 (either side)73.5%
X2 (draw or away)74.9%
Handicap -1Koper win23.7%
Push (exactly one goal)24.0%
Loss52.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-113.4%
0-011.9%

Bravo vs Koper stats

Bravo and Koper recent form

newest first
Bravo DDLWWD
Koper WWDWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bravo and Koper season so far

league record

Bravo record

  • They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Koper record

  • They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Bravo vs Koper head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Bravo wins 2Draws 2Koper wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-16KoperBravo1. SNL0-0
2026-04-04BravoKoper1. SNL1-1
2026-01-31KoperBravo1. SNL6-2
2025-09-28BravoKoper1. SNL4-2
2025-07-20KoperBravo1. SNL2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bravo vs Koper odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.0%, draw 25.3%, away 48.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.48 3.52 1.87
Bet365 3.50 3.60 1.83
BetVictor 3.50 3.70 1.87
Betano 3.50 3.70 1.91
Betfair 3.40 3.60 1.87
Dafabet 3.50 3.65 1.93
Marathonbet 3.40 3.52 1.85
Pinnacle 3.54 3.73 1.95
William Hill 3.30 3.40 1.91

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.50 β–² +0.38
X 3.60 β–² +0.05
2 1.87 β–Ό -0.13

2 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Koper Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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