Bravo
vs
Maribor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Maribor
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Maribor is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bravo vs Maribor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bravo vs Maribor
| Probability | Bravo | Draw | Maribor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.3% | 32.4% | 34.3% |
| Market | 23.9% | 24.7% | 51.4% |
| Final | 26.3% | 26.6% | 47.1% |
| Edge | +2.4% | +1.9% | -4.3% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.87, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.9% per unit staked (our 47.1% × 1.87 − 1).
Bravo vs Maribor match preview
In the upcoming match between Bravo and Maribor, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with Bravo at 27% to win, a draw also at 27%, and Maribor leading at 46%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, with an 11% probability. Expected goals are closely matched, with Bravo at 1.06 and Maribor at 1.08, suggesting a tightly contested match.
Recent form shows Bravo with a record of L-D-D-L-W-W, while Maribor has L-L-D-W-D-W. In their last five head-to-head meetings, Bravo has secured 1 win, 1 draw, and Maribor has won 3 times. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bravo and Maribor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.13
Bravo and Maribor attack and defence ratings
Bravo
Maribor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bravo vs Maribor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maribor | 47.1% | 2.12 | -4.3% | 1.87 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bravo | 26.3% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Maribor | 47.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.4% |
| No | 55.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Maribor win | 14.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 65.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.2% | |
| 0-1 | 11.4% |
Bravo vs Maribor stats
Bravo and Maribor recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bravo and Maribor season so far
Bravo record
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Maribor record
- They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bravo vs Maribor head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Maribor | Bravo | 1. SNL | 3-1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Bravo | Maribor | 1. SNL | 3-0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Maribor | Bravo | 1. SNL | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Bravo | Maribor | 1. SNL | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-16 | Maribor | Bravo | 1. SNL | 3-3 |
| 2025-04-13 | Bravo | Maribor | 1. SNL | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-15 | Maribor | Bravo | 1. SNL | 2-3 |
| 2024-10-20 | Bravo | Maribor | 1. SNL | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-04 | Maribor | Bravo | 1. SNL | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-14 | Bravo | Maribor | 1. SNL | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bravo vs Maribor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 23.9%, draw 24.7%, away 51.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.86 | 3.66 | 1.74 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.75 |
| BetVictor | 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 3.80 | 3.55 | 1.87 |
| Betfair | 3.80 | 3.75 | 1.75 |
| Dafabet | 3.85 | 3.70 | 1.85 |
| Marathonbet | 3.78 | 3.66 | 1.72 |
| Pinnacle | 3.92 | 3.99 | 1.79 |
| SBO | 3.38 | 3.20 | 1.79 |
| William Hill | 3.80 | 3.40 | 1.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .