Mura
vs
Aluminij
1 – 6 Full time
| 6′ | R. Ramsak | ||
| 14′ | K. Kurtovic | ||
| 24′ | D. Zajsek | ||
| 32′ | L. Kitin | ||
| 34′ | D. Simunic | ||
| 41′ | Z. Petrovic | ||
| 43′ | P. Petrisko | ||
| 46′ | L. KitinI. Jelic | ||
| 46′ | F. SanaR. Caks | ||
| 51′ | N. Kouter | ||
| 53′ | V. Tezak | ||
| 56′ | Z. PetrovicD. Oroian | ||
| 59′ | P. PetriskoM. Mladenovic | ||
| 59′ | R. RamsakB. Osuji | ||
| 63′ | N. KasaloL. Bobicanec | ||
| 63′ | B. Proleta | ||
| 67′ | D. ZajsekS. Rogina | ||
| 77′ | V. Tezak | ||
| 77′ | F. JevsenakS. Butic | ||
| 83′ | B. SussoM. Bajraj | ||
| 84′ | M. VrbanecE. Kramberger | ||
| 86′ | B. Osuji | ||
| 89′ | M. Mladenovic |
Mura vs Aluminij overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mura vs Aluminij
| Probability | Mura | Draw | Aluminij |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.3% | 33.2% | 34.5% |
| Market | 44.5% | 27.6% | 27.9% |
| Final | 41.5% | 29.0% | 29.5% |
| Edge | -12.2% | +5.5% | +6.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mura and Aluminij expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.04
Mura and Aluminij attack and defence ratings
Mura
Aluminij
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mura vs Aluminij: result vs prediction
Mura 1 – 6 Aluminij
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mura vs Aluminij markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mura | 41.5% | 2.41 | -12.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mura | 41.5% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Aluminij | 29.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.2% |
| No | 57.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mura win | 12.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 67.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.9% |
| 0-0 | 14.3% | |
| 0-1 | 12.2% |
Mura vs Aluminij stats
Mura and Aluminij recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mura and Aluminij going into this match
Mura record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
Aluminij record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
Mura vs Aluminij head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | Aluminij | Mura | 1. SNL | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-08 | Mura | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 0-3 |
| 2025-10-17 | Aluminij | Mura | 1. SNL | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-02 | Mura | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-29 | Mura | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 3-1 |
| 2024-03-01 | Aluminij | Mura | 1. SNL | 2-0 |
| 2023-11-04 | Mura | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-25 | Aluminij | Mura | 1. SNL | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mura vs Aluminij odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.4%, draw 27.6%, away 28.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.06 | 3.24 | 3.30 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.35 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.11 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 3.24 | 3.24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13 | 3.45 | 3.43 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .