1. SNL · Full time ·Matchday 9

Bravo vs Celje

2 – 1 Full time

21′B. Verbic
28′J. Arinze
33′M. KvesicS. Seslar
64′B. VerbicY. Dukuly
72′P. Sirvys
72′A. Jakupovic
72′J. ArinzeA. Pecar
72′J. BrunnhoferR. Parra
78′M. IvansekV. Tusha
78′B. KramerA. Kucys
78′M. SimonicJ. Ficko
79′A. JakupovicR. Kopatin
82′M. NzuziM. Olanrewaju
85′A. Pecar
90′J. Ficko

Stadion Stozice, LjubljanaReferee: Z. Jazbec

Bravo 28%
Draw 25%
Celje 47%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Bravo vs Celje overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bravo vs Celje

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBravoDrawCelje
Model41.2%30.5%28.3%
Market23.2%23.6%53.2%
Final27.7%25.3%47.0%
Edge+18.0%+6.9%-24.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bravo ↓ / Celje → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 9% 1 11% 14% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Bravo and Celje expected goals

Bravo 1.29
Celje 1.03

Total expected goals: 2.32

Bravo and Celje attack and defence ratings

Bravo

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Celje

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bravo vs Celje: result vs prediction

Bravo 2 – 1 Celje

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

1. SNL

Before and after this match

Bravo vs Celje markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Celje 47.0% 2.13 -24.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.0% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score No 52.1% 1.92 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.5% 1.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bravo27.7%
Draw25.3%
Celje47.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.0%
Under 2.559.0%
Both teams to scoreYes47.9%
No52.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.0%
12 (either side)74.7%
X2 (draw or away)72.3%
Handicap -1Celje win11.2%
Push (exactly one goal)17.3%
Loss71.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
1-011.4%
0-011.1%

Bravo vs Celje stats

Bravo and Celje recent form

newest first
Bravo DWLDDW
Celje LWLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bravo and Celje going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bravo record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Celje record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bravo vs Celje head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Bravo wins 2Draws 4Celje wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02CeljeBravo1. SNL2-3
2026-03-01BravoCelje1. SNL1-0
2025-11-09CeljeBravo1. SNL0-0
2025-08-24BravoCelje1. SNL0-5
2025-04-06BravoCelje1. SNL1-2
2025-02-01CeljeBravo1. SNL2-3
2024-09-28BravoCelje1. SNL3-2
2024-07-21CeljeBravo1. SNL2-1
2024-04-10CeljeBravo1. SNL2-1
2024-02-18BravoCelje1. SNL0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bravo vs Celje odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.2%, draw 23.6%, away 53.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.98 3.84 1.70
Bet365 3.70 3.80 1.73
BetVictor 3.90 3.90 1.73
Betano 4.15 3.85 1.72
Betfair 3.80 4.00 1.67
Marathonbet 3.92 3.84 1.68
Pinnacle 4.22 4.13 1.74
SBO 3.69 3.66 1.65
William Hill 3.90 3.70 1.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.90 ▼ -0.30
X 3.84 ▼ -0.04
2 1.70 ▲ +0.05

5 snapshots recorded, from .