1. SNL · Full time ·Matchday 8

Celje vs Koper

0 – 1 Full time

18′M. Kvesic
29′B. Irabor
36′B. Ndiaye
46′M. IvansekB. Verbic
48′G. Agyemang
51′F. Backulja
54′B. NdiayeK. Manseri
56′D. Bangaly
59′D. BangalyS. Surdanovic
62′P. Sirvys
63′L. Rimac
67′P. SirvysA. Dionkou
68′M. KvesicP. Daniel
74′N. SimonL. Stulac
74′B. IraborR. Beric
84′Y. DukulyV. Tusha
84′B. KramerA. Kucys
87′V. Tusha

Referee: A. Bubek

Celje 45%
Draw 27%
Koper 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Celje vs Koper overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Celje vs Koper

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCeljeDrawKoper
Model37.7%32.0%30.3%
Market46.8%25.6%27.6%
Final44.5%27.2%28.3%
Edge-9.0%+6.4%+2.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Celje

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Celje ↓ / Koper → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 10% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Celje and Koper expected goals

Celje 1.16
Koper 1.01

Total expected goals: 2.16

Celje and Koper attack and defence ratings

Celje

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Koper

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Celje vs Koper: result vs prediction

Celje 0 – 1 Koper

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

1. SNL

Before and after this match

Celje vs Koper markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Celje 44.5% 2.25 -9.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.3% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score No 55.2% 1.81 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.8% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.3% 1.61 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Celje44.5%
Draw27.2%
Koper28.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.7%
Under 2.563.3%
Both teams to scoreYes44.8%
No55.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.7%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)55.5%
Handicap -1Celje win16.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss62.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-012.8%
1-011.9%

Celje vs Koper stats

Celje and Koper recent form

newest first
Celje WLLDWW
Koper LWDLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Celje and Koper going into this match

league record before kick-off

Celje record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.

Koper record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Celje vs Koper head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Celje wins 4Draws 2Koper wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-16CeljeKoper1. SNL1-2
2026-03-15KoperCelje1. SNL0-1
2025-11-30CeljeKoper1. SNL1-1
2025-09-14KoperCelje1. SNL3-3
2025-05-14KoperCeljeCup0-4
2025-05-10CeljeKoper1. SNL2-3
2025-04-30KoperCelje1. SNL1-1
2024-11-23CeljeKoper1. SNL1-0
2024-09-01KoperCelje1. SNL0-0
2024-05-12CeljeKoper1. SNL2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Celje vs Koper odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.8%, draw 25.5%, away 27.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.98 3.65 3.20
1xBet 1.93 3.52 3.36
Bet365 1.95 3.60 3.10
BetVictor 1.95 3.60 3.30
Betano 2.00 3.65 3.30
Betfair 1.95 3.75 3.00
Dafabet 1.97 3.70 3.30
Marathonbet 1.91 3.52 3.30
Pinnacle 1.99 3.74 3.55
Superbet 1.97 3.60 3.25
Unibet 2.08 3.55 2.80
William Hill 1.95 3.30 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.95 ▼ -0.10
X 3.56 ▼ -0.04
2 3.30 ▲ +0.35

10 snapshots recorded, from .