Nafta
vs
Radomlje
3 – 1 Full time
| 3′ | D. Ikenna | ||
| 46′ | A. JasaragicM. Vidnyanszky | ||
| 51′ | A. Marosa | ||
| 53′ | D. Ikenna | ||
| 56′ | A. Marosa | ||
| 61′ | J. JelenJ. Balic | ||
| 68′ | J. MartincicS. Bangura | ||
| 75′ | A. MarosaL. Pihler | ||
| 77′ | J. Zorica | ||
| 80′ | B. GraonicA. Marinic | ||
| 80′ | D. IkennaD. Mazreku | ||
| 82′ | K. LavrencicT. Gorenc Stankovic | ||
| 84′ | S. Bangura | ||
| 88′ | S. OmraniU. Jamiu | ||
| 90′ | A. Bosec |
Nafta vs Radomlje overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nafta vs Radomlje
| Probability | Nafta | Draw | Radomlje |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.0% | 25.1% | 26.0% |
| Market | 42.1% | 25.7% | 32.2% |
| Final | 43.8% | 25.5% | 30.7% |
| Edge | +6.9% | -0.6% | -6.3% |
Why Nafta
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.28.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Nafta below the model: +6.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nafta and Radomlje expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.10
Nafta and Radomlje attack and defence ratings
Nafta
Radomlje
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nafta vs Radomlje: result vs prediction
Nafta 3 – 1 Radomlje
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nafta vs Radomlje markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nafta | 43.8% | 2.28 | +6.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nafta | 43.8% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Radomlje | 30.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.6% |
| No | 38.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nafta win | 27.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 51.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.4% |
Nafta vs Radomlje stats
Nafta and Radomlje recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nafta and Radomlje going into this match
Nafta record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Radomlje record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Nafta vs Radomlje head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-08 | Radomlje | Nafta | 1. SNL | 4-1 |
| 2025-02-07 | Nafta | Radomlje | 1. SNL | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-04 | Radomlje | Nafta | 1. SNL | 2-0 |
| 2024-07-26 | Nafta | Radomlje | 1. SNL | 2-1 |
| 2021-05-08 | Nafta | Radomlje | 2. SNL | 1-0 |
| 2020-10-10 | Radomlje | Nafta | 2. SNL | 3-1 |
| 2020-06-10 | Radomlje | Nafta | Cup | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nafta vs Radomlje odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.1%, draw 25.7%, away 32.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.16 | 3.55 | 2.88 |
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.54 | 2.86 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.90 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.19 | 3.60 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.18 | 3.52 | 2.72 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29 | 3.83 | 2.84 |
| SBO | 2.03 | 3.20 | 2.74 |
| Superbet | 2.20 | 3.55 | 2.82 |
| Unibet | 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.65 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .