Maribor
vs
Mura
1 – 1 Full time
| 2′ | I. Tshipamba | ||
| 35′ | K. Kurtovic | ||
| 44′ | N. Kasalo | ||
| 46′ | Z. PetrovicF. Sana | ||
| 50′ | B. Mbondo | ||
| 54′ | T. Cipot | ||
| 55′ | A. Zalaznik | ||
| 61′ | N. ViherN. Osterc | ||
| 61′ | Z. RepasJ. Mlakar | ||
| 64′ | N. Kouter | ||
| 73′ | Z. JevsenakJ. Seri | ||
| 73′ | V. KodermanB. Feta | ||
| 73′ | N. KasaloS. Butic | ||
| 79′ | K. KurtovicR. Caks | ||
| 82′ | L. ZahovicD. Vizinger | ||
| 90′ | Z. Karnicnik | ||
| 90′ | A. KorosecI. Jelic |
Maribor vs Mura overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Maribor vs Mura
| Probability | Maribor | Draw | Mura |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.6% | 21.5% | 12.9% |
| Market | 65.2% | 21.2% | 13.5% |
| Final | 65.3% | 21.3% | 13.4% |
| Edge | +0.4% | +0.3% | -0.6% |
Why Maribor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Maribor and Mura expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.93
Maribor and Mura attack and defence ratings
Maribor
Mura
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Maribor vs Mura: result vs prediction
Maribor 1 – 1 Mura
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Maribor vs Mura markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maribor | 65.3% | 1.53 | +0.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Maribor win | 42.3% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maribor | 65.3% |
| Draw | 21.3% | |
| Mura | 13.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% |
| No | 49.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Maribor win | 42.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 34.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.7% |
| 1-1 | 10.3% | |
| 1-0 | 10.2% |
Maribor vs Mura stats
Maribor and Mura recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Maribor and Mura going into this match
Maribor record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Mura record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
Maribor vs Mura head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Mura | Maribor | 1. SNL | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Maribor | Mura | 1. SNL | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Mura | Maribor | 1. SNL | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Maribor | Mura | 1. SNL | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-21 | Mura | Maribor | 1. SNL | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-22 | Maribor | Mura | 1. SNL | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-26 | Mura | Maribor | 1. SNL | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-11 | Maribor | Mura | 1. SNL | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-09 | Maribor | Mura | 1. SNL | 5-0 |
| 2024-02-18 | Mura | Maribor | 1. SNL | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Maribor vs Mura odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.0%, draw 20.9%, away 14.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.37 | 4.45 | 7.30 |
| 1xBet | 1.38 | 4.30 | 7.02 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.50 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.10 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.35 | 6.40 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.40 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.42 | 4.50 | 6.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.37 | 4.30 | 6.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45 | 4.51 | 6.95 |
| Superbet | 1.41 | 4.45 | 6.10 |
| Unibet | 1.40 | 4.25 | 5.80 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .