Bravo vs Mura overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bravo vs Mura
| Probability | Bravo | Draw | Mura |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.0% | 26.6% | 24.4% |
| Market | 43.2% | 27.3% | 29.5% |
| Final | 44.6% | 27.1% | 28.2% |
| Edge | +5.8% | -0.7% | -5.1% |
Why Bravo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.12.
- The market prices Bravo below the model: +5.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bravo and Mura expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.79
Bravo and Mura attack and defence ratings
Bravo
Mura
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bravo vs Mura: result vs prediction
Bravo 2 – 0 Mura
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bravo vs Mura markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bravo | 44.6% | 2.24 | +5.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bravo | 44.6% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Mura | 28.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bravo win | 26.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 51.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 9.1% |
Bravo vs Mura stats
Bravo and Mura recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bravo and Mura going into this match
Bravo record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mura record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
Bravo vs Mura head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Mura | Bravo | 1. SNL | 1-2 |
| 2026-02-03 | Bravo | Mura | 1. SNL | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Mura | Bravo | 1. SNL | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Bravo | Mura | 1. SNL | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-28 | Bravo | Mura | 1. SNL | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-02 | Mura | Bravo | 1. SNL | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-03 | Bravo | Mura | 1. SNL | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-17 | Mura | Bravo | 1. SNL | 2-3 |
| 2024-05-12 | Bravo | Mura | 1. SNL | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-13 | Mura | Bravo | 1. SNL | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bravo vs Mura odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 27.3%, away 29.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.14 | 3.40 | 3.05 |
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.26 | 3.11 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.16 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 3.26 | 3.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20 | 3.43 | 3.13 |
| SBO | 2.04 | 3.06 | 2.83 |
| Superbet | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Unibet | 1.86 | 3.35 | 3.45 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .