Maribor vs Bravo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Maribor vs Bravo
| Probability | Maribor | Draw | Bravo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.3% | 32.0% | 25.7% |
| Market | 55.8% | 23.5% | 20.7% |
| Final | 52.4% | 25.6% | 21.9% |
| Edge | -13.5% | +8.4% | +5.0% |
Why Maribor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.22 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Maribor and Bravo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.11
Maribor and Bravo attack and defence ratings
Maribor
Bravo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Maribor vs Bravo: result vs prediction
Maribor 3 – 1 Bravo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Maribor vs Bravo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maribor | 52.4% | 1.91 | -13.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maribor | 52.4% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Bravo | 21.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.9% |
| No | 57.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Maribor win | 19.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 57.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 1-0 | 13.5% | |
| 0-0 | 13.4% |
Maribor vs Bravo stats
Maribor and Bravo recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Maribor and Bravo going into this match
Maribor record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Bravo record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Maribor vs Bravo head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Bravo | Maribor | 1. SNL | 3-0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Maribor | Bravo | 1. SNL | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Bravo | Maribor | 1. SNL | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-16 | Maribor | Bravo | 1. SNL | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Maribor vs Bravo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.3%, draw 23.7%, away 21.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.68 | 3.80 | 4.35 |
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 3.68 | 4.76 |
| 888Sport | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.85 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.68 | 3.95 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 3.68 | 4.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 3.83 | 4.88 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.69 | 4.01 |
| Superbet | 1.67 | 3.85 | 4.30 |
| Unibet | 1.53 | 3.95 | 4.70 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .