Mura vs Koper overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mura vs Koper
| Probability | Mura | Draw | Koper |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.4% | 28.9% | 44.7% |
| Market | 29.0% | 26.2% | 44.8% |
| Final | 28.3% | 26.8% | 44.8% |
| Edge | -2.6% | +2.7% | -0.2% |
Why Koper
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 1.06.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
46%
No goals
9%
Mura and Koper expected goals
Mura
1.06
Koper
1.44
Total expected goals: 2.50
Mura and Koper attack and defence ratings
Mura
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
1.17 +17%
Koper
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
0.70 -30%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mura vs Koper: result vs prediction
Mura 0 – 1 Koper
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mura vs Koper markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Koper | 44.8% | 2.23 | -0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mura | 28.3% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Koper | 44.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% |
| No | 48.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Koper win | 22.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 55.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 10.6% | |
| 0-0 | 9.5% |
Mura vs Koper stats
Mura and Koper recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mura and Koper going into this match
Mura record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
Koper record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Mura vs Koper head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
1Mura wins
0Draws
3Koper wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Mura | Koper | 1. SNL | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Koper | Mura | 1. SNL | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Mura | Koper | 1. SNL | 3-2 |
| 2025-08-23 | Koper | Mura | 1. SNL | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mura vs Koper odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.0%, draw 26.2%, away 44.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| 1xBet | 3.12 | 3.46 | 2.04 |
| 888Sport | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.07 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.08 |
| Marathonbet | 3.06 | 3.46 | 2.02 |
| Pinnacle | 3.16 | 3.70 | 2.16 |
| SBO | 2.98 | 3.18 | 1.92 |
| Superbet | 3.15 | 3.45 | 2.07 |
| Unibet | 3.25 | 3.30 | 1.94 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.05 |