Koper vs Aluminij overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Koper vs Aluminij
| Probability | Koper | Draw | Aluminij |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.8% | 30.9% | 18.2% |
| Market | 28.0% | 26.2% | 45.7% |
| Final | 33.7% | 27.4% | 38.8% |
| Edge | +22.8% | +4.7% | -27.5% |
Why Aluminij
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Koper and Aluminij expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.03
Koper and Aluminij attack and defence ratings
Koper
Aluminij
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Koper vs Aluminij: result vs prediction
Koper 0 – 1 Aluminij
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Koper vs Aluminij markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aluminij | 38.8% | 2.57 | -27.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Koper | 33.7% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Aluminij | 38.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.1% |
| No | 61.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aluminij win | 5.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12.9% | |
| Loss | 81.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.3% |
| 0-0 | 14.4% | |
| 1-1 | 13.4% |
Koper vs Aluminij stats
Koper and Aluminij recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Koper and Aluminij going into this match
Koper record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Aluminij record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Koper vs Aluminij head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Koper | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Aluminij | Koper | 1. SNL | 2-4 |
| 2025-11-22 | Koper | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 4-1 |
| 2025-08-29 | Aluminij | Koper | 1. SNL | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-11 | Koper | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-16 | Aluminij | Koper | 1. SNL | 1-2 |
| 2023-11-26 | Aluminij | Koper | 1. SNL | 3-2 |
| 2023-10-08 | Koper | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 4-1 |
| 2023-04-05 | Aluminij | Koper | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2022-03-20 | Koper | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Koper vs Aluminij odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.0%, draw 26.2%, away 45.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.15 | 3.50 | 2.06 |
| 1xBet | 3.42 | 3.34 | 1.97 |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.09 |
| Marathonbet | 3.35 | 3.34 | 1.95 |
| Pinnacle | 3.40 | 3.54 | 2.04 |
| Superbet | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.02 |
| Unibet | 3.40 | 3.50 | 1.84 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .