Aluminij
vs
Celje
0 – 2 Full time
| 41′ | E. Taylor | ||
| 58′ | M. IvansekL. Koutris | ||
| 58′ | B. VerbicY. Dukuly | ||
| 64′ | A. BloudekB. Susso | ||
| 64′ | B. OsujiM. Bajraj | ||
| 64′ | V. TezakP. Petrisko | ||
| 69′ | A. KotnikA. Kucys | ||
| 71′ | R. Schaubach | ||
| 75′ | T. Jagic | ||
| 81′ | S. Seslar | ||
| 84′ | M. AvdyliP. Daniel | ||
| 84′ | S. SeslarV. Tusha | ||
| 84′ | A. Tutyskinas | ||
| 88′ | D. SimunicE. Kramberger | ||
| 88′ | M. VrbanecD. Zajsek | ||
| 90′ | B. Susso |
Aluminij vs Celje overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aluminij vs Celje
| Probability | Aluminij | Draw | Celje |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.2% | 29.0% | 34.8% |
| Market | 19.6% | 22.0% | 58.3% |
| Final | 23.8% | 23.8% | 52.4% |
| Edge | +16.5% | +7.0% | -23.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aluminij and Celje expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.58
Aluminij and Celje attack and defence ratings
Aluminij
Celje
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aluminij vs Celje: result vs prediction
Aluminij 0 – 2 Celje
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Aluminij vs Celje markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celje | 52.4% | 1.91 | -23.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aluminij | 23.8% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Celje | 52.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% |
| No | 46.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Celje win | 15.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 65.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-0 | 8.8% | |
| 1-0 | 8.6% |
Aluminij vs Celje stats
Aluminij and Celje recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aluminij and Celje going into this match
Aluminij record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Celje record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
Aluminij vs Celje head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Celje | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 5-0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Aluminij | Celje | 1. SNL | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Celje | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Aluminij | Celje | 1. SNL | 2-3 |
| 2024-03-30 | Celje | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 2-2 |
| 2024-02-04 | Celje | Aluminij | Friendlies Clubs | 4-1 |
| 2023-12-09 | Aluminij | Celje | 1. SNL | 1-3 |
| 2023-09-27 | Celje | Aluminij | 1. SNL | 1-3 |
| 2023-07-23 | Aluminij | Celje | 1. SNL | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aluminij vs Celje odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.6%, draw 22.0%, away 58.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.65 | 4.10 | 1.59 |
| 1xBet | 4.81 | 4.05 | 1.55 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 4.00 | 1.55 |
| BetVictor | 4.80 | 4.10 | 1.55 |
| Betano | 4.60 | 4.10 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 4.20 | 1.55 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 4.20 | 1.59 |
| Marathonbet | 4.75 | 4.05 | 1.53 |
| Pinnacle | 5.12 | 4.37 | 1.58 |
| SBO | 4.44 | 3.84 | 1.51 |
| Superbet | 4.60 | 4.10 | 1.58 |
| Unibet | 4.40 | 4.10 | 1.53 |
| William Hill | 4.50 | 3.75 | 1.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .